While traditionally powerful Western economies are treading
water at best, beset by crises in banking, housing, and employment,
industrial growth and economic development are exploding in China
and India. The world's two most populous nations are the biggest
reasons for Asia's growing footprint on other global regions. The
increasing size and impact of that footprint are especially
important in the Middle East, an economic, religious, and
geopolitical linchpin. "The East Moves West" details the growing
interdependence of the Middle East and Asia and projects the likely
ramifications of this evolving relationship. It also examines the
role of Pakistan, Japan, and South Korea in the region.
Geoffrey Kemp, a longtime analyst of global security and
political economy, compares and contrasts Indian and Chinese
involvement in the Middle East. He stresses an embedded historical
dimension that gives India substantially more familiarity and
interest in the region --India was there first, and it has
maintained that head start. Both nations, however, are clearly on
the rise and leaving an indelible mark on the Middle East, and that
enhanced influence has international ramifications for the United
States and throughout the world.
Does the emergence of these Asian giants --with their
increasingly huge need for energy --strengthen the case for
cooperative security, particularly in the maritime arena? After
all, safe and open sea-lanes remain an essential component of
mutually beneficial intercontinental trade, making India and China
increasingly dependent on safe passage of oil tankers. Or will we
see reversion to more traditional competition and even conflict,
given that the major Asian powers themselves have so many
unresolved problems and that the future of the U.S. presence in the
area is uncertain. Kemp believes the United States will remain the
dominant military power in the region but will have to share some
security responsibilities with the Asians, especially in the Indian
Ocean.
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