This monograph analyzes Brazilian grand strategy under President
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. During Lula's nearly 8 years in office,
he has pursued a multi-tiered grand strategy aimed at hastening the
transition from unipolarity to a multipolar order in which
international rules, norms, and institutions are more favorable to
Brazilian interests. Lula has done so by emphasizing three
diplomatic strategies: soft-balancing, coalition-building, and
seeking to position Brazil as the leader of a more united South
America. This strategy has successfully raised Brazil's profile and
increased its diplomatic flexibility, but it has also exposed the
country to four potent strategic dilemmas that could complicate or
undermine its ascent. These dilemmas touch on issues ranging from
anemic macroeconomic performance to rising tensions in Brazil's
relationship with the United States. In the future, the efficacy of
Brazilian grand strategy-and its implications for U.S. interests
and the global system-will be contingent on how Lula's successors
address these dilemmas.
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