Unfortunately, a nuclear terrorist act is only one-and hardly the
most probable-of several frightening security threats Pakistan now
faces or poses. We know that traditional acts of terrorism and
conventional military crises in Southwest Asia have nearly
escalated into wars and, more recently, even threatened Indian and
Pakistani nuclear use. Certainly, the war jitters that attended the
recent terrorist attacks against Mumbai highlighted the nexus
between conventional terrorism and war. For several weeks, the key
worry in Washington was that India and Pakistan might not be able
to avoid war. Similar concerns were raised during the Kargil crisis
in 1999, and the Indo-Pakistani conventional military tensions that
arose in 2001 and 2002-crises that most analysts (including those
who contributed to this volume) believe could have escalated into
nuclear conflicts. The intent of this book is to conduct a
significant evaluation of these threats. Its companion volume,
Worries Beyond War, published in 2008, focused on the challenges of
Pakistani nuclear terrorism. These analyses offer a window into
what is possible and why Pakistani nuclear terrorism is best seen
as a lesser included threat to war, and terrorism more generally.
Could the United States do more with Pakistan to secure Pakistan's
nuclear weapons holdings against possible seizure? It is unclear.
This book argues that rather than distracting our policy leaders
from taking the steps needed to reduce the threats of nuclear war,
we would do well to view our worst terrorist nightmares for what
they are: Subordinate threats that will be limited best if the risk
of nuclear war is reduced and contained.
General
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