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On Escalation - Metaphors and Scenarios (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R4,629
Discovery Miles 46 290
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On Escalation - Metaphors and Scenarios (Hardcover)
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In this widely discussed and influential book, Herman Kahn probes
the dynamics of escalation and demonstrates how the intensification
of conflict can be depicted by means of a definite escalation
ladder, ascent of which brings opponents closer to all-out war. At
each rung of the ladder, before the climb proceeds, decisions must
be made based on numerous choices. Some are clear and obvious,
others obscure, but the options are always there. Thermonuclear
annihilation, says Kahn, is unlikely to come through accident; but
nations may elect to climb the ladder to extinction. The basic
material for the book was developed in briefings delivered by Kahn
to military and civilian experts and revised in the light of his
findings of a trip to Vietnam in the 1960s. In On Escalation he
states the facts squarely. He asks the reader to face unemotionally
the terrors of a world fully capable of suicide and to consider
carefully the alternatives to such a path. In the never-never land
of nuclear warfare, where nuclear incredulity is pervasive and
paralyzing to the imagination even for the professional analyst,
salient details of possible scenarios for the outbreak of war, and
even more for war fighting, are largely unexplored or even
unnoticed. For scenarios in which war is terminated, the issues and
possibilities of which are almost completely unstudied, the
situation is even worse. Kahn's discussion throws light on the
terrain and gives the individual a sense of the range of
possibilities and complexities involved and are useful.
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