Global hyperconnectivity and increased system integration have
led to vast benefits, including worldwide growth in incomes,
education, innovation, and technology. But rapid globalization has
also created concerns because the repercussions of local events now
cascade over national borders and the fallout of financial
meltdowns and environmental disasters affects everyone. "The
Butterfly Defect" addresses the widening gap between systemic risks
and their effective management. It shows how the new dynamics of
turbo-charged globalization has the potential and power to
destabilize our societies. Drawing on the latest insights from a
wide variety of disciplines, Ian Goldin and Mike Mariathasan
provide practical guidance for how governments, businesses, and
individuals can better manage risk in our contemporary world.
Goldin and Mariathasan assert that the current complexities of
globalization will not be sustainable as surprises become more
frequent and have widespread impacts. The recent financial crisis
exemplifies the new form of systemic risk that will characterize
the coming decades, and the authors provide the first framework for
understanding how such risk will function in the twenty-first
century. Goldin and Mariathasan demonstrate that systemic risk
issues are now endemic everywhere--in supply chains, pandemics,
infrastructure, ecology and climate change, economics, and
politics. Unless we are better able to address these concerns, they
will lead to greater protectionism, xenophobia, nationalism, and,
inevitably, deglobalization, rising conflict, and slower
growth.
"The Butterfly Defect" shows that mitigating uncertainty and
systemic risk in an interconnected world is an essential task for
our future.
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