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Books > Earth & environment > The environment > Environmental impact of natural disasters & phenomena
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Natural Disasters, When Will They Reach Me? (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2016)
Loot Price: R2,873
Discovery Miles 28 730
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Natural Disasters, When Will They Reach Me? (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2016)
Series: Springer Natural Hazards
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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The expected time of impact, also known as the mean first passage
time (MFPT) to reach failure, is a critical metric in the
management of natural disasters. The complexity of the dynamics
governing natural disasters lead to stochastic behaviour. This book
shows that state transitions of many such systems translate into
random walks on their respective state spaces, biased and shaped by
environmental inhomogeneity. Thus the probabilistic treatment of
those random walks gives valuable insights of expected behaviour. A
comprehensive case study of predicting cyclone induced flood is
followed by a discussion of generic methods that predict MFPT
addressing directional bias. This is followed by discussing MFPT
prediction methods in systems showing network inhomogeneity. All
presented methods are illustrated using real datasets of natural
disasters. The book ends with a short discussion of possible future
research areas introducing the problem of predicting MFPT for
bush-fire propagation.
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