Does foreign denial and deception threaten the interests of
contemporary democracies? Strategic denial and deception (D&D)
has emerged as a little understood challenge to security in
general, and the intelligence community in particular. To gain
advantages, adversaries seek to deny critical information about
their own activities and capabilities, and to decieve foreign
governments. In recent years, Iraq, India, Somalia, Colombian
criminal groups, and terrorists, for example, have all used D&D
successfully against the United States. Denial and deception is a
low cost, potentially high impact to level political, military, and
economic playing fields, particularly against strong
opponents.Concerns about the threat of denial and deception have
waxed and waned since the end of World War II. Sometimes it shaped
assessments about the former Soviet Union, for example. At other
times, such as the end of the Cold War, such threats appear to fade
into insignificance. This volume considers whether globalization,
proliferating communication technologies, and the dissemination of
vast amounts of information make effective foreign denial and
deception more or less likely. Contributors also examine whether
more information and data sources make policymakers better informed
or simply create confusion.Drawing on lessons learned from
historical experiences, the authors propose ways to minimize future
challenges. Chapters include "Elements of Strategic Denial and
Deception," by Abram Shulsky; "Conditions Making for Success and
Failure of D&D," by Barton Whaley; "Conditions Making for
Success and Failure of D&D," by M.R.D. Foot; "Conditions Making
for Success and Failure of D&D," by J. Bowyer Bell; "Arms
Control," by Lynn M. Hansen; and "Prescription: Detecting
Deception-Practice, Practitioners, and Theory," by Barton Whaley
and Jeffrey Busby.While there are previous books about celebrated
D&D cases, from Troy to Pearl Harbor and D-Day, no work
attempts to assess how these instruments of denial and deception
can be used in the early twenty-first century. This book will be of
interest to students, security planners, and general readers
interested in political science, security, and foreign and military
policy.
General
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