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Understanding Intelligence Failure - Warning, Response and Deterrence (Hardcover)
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Discovery Miles 40 690
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Understanding Intelligence Failure - Warning, Response and Deterrence (Hardcover)
Series: Studies in Intelligence
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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This collection, comprising key works by James J. Wirtz, explains
how different threat perceptions can lead to strategic surprise
attack, intelligence failure and the failure of deterrence. This
volume adopts a strategist's view of the issue of surprise and
intelligence failure by placing these phenomena in the context of
conflict between strong and weak actors in world affairs. A
two-level theory explains the incentives and perceptions of both
parties when significant imbalances of military power exist between
potential combatants, and how this situation sets the stage for
strategic surprise and intelligence failure to occur. The volume
illustrates this theory by applying it to the Kargil Crisis,
attacks launched by non-state actors, and by offering a comparison
of Pearl Harbor and the September 11, 2001 attacks. It explores the
phenomenon of deterrence failure; specifically, how weaker parties
in an enduring or nascent conflict come to believe that deterrent
threats posed by militarily stronger antagonists will be undermined
by various constraints, increasing the attractiveness of utilising
surprise attack to achieve their objectives. This work also offers
strategies that could mitigate the occurrence of intelligence
failure, strategic surprise and the failure of deterrence. This
book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies,
strategic studies, security studies and IR in general.
General
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