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Facing China - The Prospect for War and Peace (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R1,991
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Facing China - The Prospect for War and Peace (Hardcover)
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Jean-Pierre Cabestan, a China specialist based in Hong Kong,
provides an overview of “Thucydides’ Trap,” as coined by
political scientist Graham Allison to describe the inescapable
conflict between Beijing and Washington. Is China’s growing power
a threat to the United States? Could it lead to war between the two
nations? Economically and militarily stronger, and more nationalist
than ever, the People’s Republic of China is increasingly tempted
to use force to assert its power, especially in its immediate
region. First, the author considers the factors around the threat
of war, specifically on the Chinese side, then presents the three
most likely armed conflict scenarios: around Taiwan; in the South
China Sea; or in the Senkaku Islands under Japanese control.
Cabestan also analyses the tensions between China and India along
their common borders, which were revived in 2020. But the most
likely scenario, according to Cabestan, would be a rapid, piecemeal
attack, aimed at tearing borders apart or defending vested
interests – not to mention increased cyber warfare. It could also
manifest itself as the emergence of a new type of cold war,
punctuated by crises bordering on either a nuclear strike or the
use of new weapons. U.S.-Chinese tensions and the many potential
fronts on which they could elevate are a conflict-in-waiting which
will weigh on the 21st century and dominate international life as
China seeks to become entrenched as a dominant world power.
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