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Financial and Fiscal Instruments for Catastrophe Risk Management - Addressing the Losses from Flood Hazards in Central Europe (Paperback, New)
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Financial and Fiscal Instruments for Catastrophe Risk Management - Addressing the Losses from Flood Hazards in Central Europe (Paperback, New)
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This applied study addresses the large flood exposures of Central
Europe and proposes efficient financial and risk transfer
mechanisms to mitigate fiscal losses from such natural
catastrophes. In 2010 the V-4 Visegrad countries (i.e., Poland,
Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia) demonstrated their historical
vulnerability to floods - Poland suffered $3.2 billion in flood
related losses, comparable to it $3.5 billion of losses in 1997.
Flood modeling analysis of the V-4 shows that a disaster event with
a 5 percent probability in any given year can lead to economic
losses in these countries of between 0.6 percent to 1.9 percent of
GDP, as well as between 2.2 percent to 10.7 percent of government
revenues. Larger events could quadruple such losses. The European
Union Solidarity Fund is available as a mechanism for disasters but
it comes into effect at only very high levels of losses, does not
provide sufficient funding, and is not speedy. An insurance-like
mechanism for National Governments can be tailored for
country-portfolio needs for buildings, properties and critical
infrastructure. By virtue of the broad territorial scope, fiscal
support should use mechanisms that provide payments triggered by
physical flood measurements in selected areas (rather than
site-by-site losses as in the traditional insurance industry). A
multi-country mechanism for insurance pooling of risks to protect
infrastructure can also provide major cost efficiencies for all
governments, using parametric-or index contracts. Savings from
pooling can range from 25 to 33 percent of the financing costs that
each country would otherwise have paid on its own. There are
several instruments and options for both insurance, and debt
financed mechanisms for funding catastrophes. All instruments can
be analyzed based on equivalencies in terms of market spreads. A
hybrid-like instrument, the catastrophe bond, is really a risk
transfer instrument but structured as a debt security. The V-4
countries should therefore begin to set up the financial mechanisms
to prevent major fiscal losses from future catastrophic floods and
avoid fiscal disruptions when these occur. The instruments proposed
can be market tested and supplemented with exacting studies on
hydrology and topography used to fine tune the loss estimations per
event and where property and infrastructure are exposed.|Kill the
Messenger is perhaps the most thorough and authoritative work in
defense of educational testing ever written. Phelps points out that
much research conducted by education insiders on the topic is based
on ideological preference or profound self-interest. It is not
surprising that they arrive at emphatically anti-testing
conclusions. Much, if not most, of this hostile research is passed
on to the public by journalists as if it were neutral, objective,
and independent. This volume explains and refutes many of the
common criticisms of testing; describes testing opponents
strategies, through case studies of Texas and the SAT; illustrates
the profound media bias against testing; acknowledges testings
limitations, and suggests how it can be improved; and finally,
outlines the consequences of losing the war on standardized
testing.
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