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Monte Carlo or Bust - Simple Simulations for Aspiring Sports Bettors (Paperback)
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Monte Carlo or Bust - Simple Simulations for Aspiring Sports Bettors (Paperback)
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Almost everyone is familiar with Monte Carlo's association with
gambling, and its famous Casino. Many may also have come across the
Monte Carlo fallacy, so-called after the Casino's roulette wheel
ball fell on black 26th times in a row, costing players, who
believed that the law of averages made such streaks impossible,
millions of dollars. However, the Casino also lends its name to a
tool of statistical forecasting, the Monte Carlo simulation, used
to model the probability of uncertain outcomes that cannot be
easily predicted from mathematical equations. This book provides a
detailed account for how aspiring sports bettors can use a Monte
Carlo simulation to improve the quality, and hopefully
profitability, of their betting, and in doing so unravels the
mystery of probability and variance that lies at the heart of all
gambling.
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