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Understanding Deterrence (Paperback)
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Understanding Deterrence (Paperback)
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For decades, the rational actor model served as the preferred guide
for U.S. deterrence policy. It has been a convenient and comforting
guide because it requires little detailed knowledge of an
opponent's unique decision-making process and yet typically
provides confident generalizations about how deterrence works. The
model tends to postulate common decision-making parameters across
the globe to reach generalizations about how deterrence will
function and the types of forces that will be "stabilizing" or
"destabilizing." Yet a broad spectrum of unique factors can
influence an opponent's perceptions and his calculations, and these
are not easily captured by the rational actor model. The absence of
uniformity means there can be very few deterrence generalizations
generated by the use of the rational actor model that are
applicable to the entire range of opponents. Understanding
Deterrence considers how factors such as psychology, history,
religion, ideology, geography, political structure, culture,
proliferation and geopolitics can shape a leadership's
decision-making process, in ways that are specific and unique to
each opponent. Understanding Deterrence demonstrates how using a
multidisciplinary approach to deterrence analysis can better
identify and assess factors that influence an opponent's
decision-making process. This identification and assessment process
can facilitate the tailoring of deterrence strategies to specific
purposes and result in a higher likelihood of success than
strategies guided by the generalizations about opponent
decision-making typically contained in the rational actor model.
This book was published as a special issue of Comparative Strategy.
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