Chinese production of automobiles rose from 42,000 cars per year
in 1990 to 2.3 million in 2004; the number of passenger vehicles on
the road doubled every two and a half years through the 1990s and
continues to grow. In China Shifts Gears, Kelly Sims Gallagher
identifies an unprecedented opportunity for China to "shift gears"
and avoid the usual problems associated with the automobile
industry--including urban air pollution caused by tailpipe
emissions, greenhouse gas emissions, and high dependence on oil
imports--while spurring economic development. This transformation
will only take place if the Chinese government plays a leadership
role in building domestic technological capacity and pushing
foreign automakers to transfer cleaner and more energy-efficient
technologies to China. If every new car sold in China had the
cleanest and most energy-efficient of the automotive technologies
already available, urban air pollution could be minimized,
emissions of climate-altering greenhouse gases would be lower than
projected, and the Chinese auto industry would continue to flourish
and contribute to China's steady economic development. But so far,
Gallagher finds, the opportunity to shift gears has been
missed.Gallagher looks in detail at three U.S.-Chinese joint
ventures: Beijing Jeep, Shanghai GM, and Chang'An Ford. These case
studies are based on original research, including interviews with
90 government officials, industry representatives, and experts in
both countries. Drawing from the case studies, Gallagher explores
the larger issues of the environmental and economic effects of
technology transfer in the automobile industry and the policy
implications of "leapfrogging" to more advanced technology.
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