This volume contains six studies on current topics in
macroeconomics. The first shows that while assuming rational
expectations is unrealistic, a finite-horizon forward planning
model can yield results similar to those of a rational expectations
equilibrium. The second explores the aggregate risk of the U.S.
financial sector, and in particular whether it is safer now than
before the 2008 financial crisis. The third analyzes "factorless
income," output that is not measured as capital or labor income.
Next, a study argues that the financial crisis increased the
perceived risk of a very bad economic and financial outcome, and
explores the propagation of large, rare shocks. The next paper
documents the substantial recent changes in the manufacturing
sector and the decline in employment among prime-aged Americans
since 2000. The last paper analyzes the dynamic macroeconomic
effects of border adjustment taxes.
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