In his provocative analysis of Soviet goals in Southwest Asia,
particularly Iran, Sicker argues that Soviet imperialism in this
area exhibits a remarkable consistency from tsarist times to the
present. Directly challenging prevailing beliefs of diminished
Soviet interest in Iran or the Persian Gulf, Sicker asserts that
the Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan, their history of interest
in the area, and the region's growing geopolitical significance all
enhance the probability of a Soviet move to bring Iran into its
sphere of influence. Moreover, Sicker demonstrates Soviet goals in
the area are long term and are not subject to revision as a
consequence of temporary setbacks or a change in Soviet leadership.
Students and policymakers will find The Bear and the Lion both a
realistic appraisal of the importance of Iran to the Soviet Union
and a comprehensive historical analysis of the roots of that
interest.
Sicker begins by examining the era of tsarist expansionism,
demonstrating that Russia's strategic interest in Iran can be
traced back as far as the reign of Peter the Great. He goes on to
examine Iran's emerging strategic importance during the 19th
century, exploring the geopolitical importance of Iran to the
Soviet Union both before and after the discovery of oil there.
Subsequent chapters trace during the Second World War, the era of
Muhammad Reza Shah, and the Khomieni regime. Based on his analysis,
Sicker concludes that Soviet imperialism is very much a reality in
the region and that this constitutes a serious threat to the
territorial integrity and political independence of Iran, and to
U.S. interests in the area.
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