The Thrift Savings Plan (TSP), the defined benefit contribution
plan for the US Government, introduced the asset allocation
Lifecycle (L) Funds in August 2005. These funds seek to minimize
risk and maximize expected portfolio return via mean-variance
optimization (MVO). The purpose of this thesis is to investigate
and examine the efficiency of the TSP L Funds and create
alternative L Fund portfolios via downside risk optimization (DRO).
Whereas MVO minimizes the portfolio variance (standard deviation),
DRO seeks to minimize the risk below an investor's minimal
acceptable return in the market, defined as the Co-Lower Partial
Moment (CLPM). The research team compares the TSP and DRO (CLPM) L
Fund expected portfolio values at retirement for three typical
investors. The expected portfolio values are computed using @Risk
software via Monte Carlo simulation of TSP individual fund monthly
returns, the L Fund quarterly target allocations, and various
investor inputs. The quantitative results and analysis of this
evaluation determined that TSP participants realize higher expected
portfolio values at retirement by investing into a DRO (CLPM) L
Fund versus any of the TSP L Funds. To validate the findings, this
thesis compares an investment stream in the L Funds from August
2005 through December 2009.
General
Imprint: |
Biblioscholar
|
Country of origin: |
United States |
Release date: |
October 2012 |
First published: |
October 2012 |
Authors: |
Matthew C. Beck
|
Dimensions: |
248 x 189 x 7mm (L x W x T) |
Format: |
Paperback - Trade
|
Pages: |
126 |
ISBN-13: |
978-1-286-86282-7 |
Categories: |
Books >
Social sciences >
Education >
General
Promotions
|
LSN: |
1-286-86282-5 |
Barcode: |
9781286862827 |
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