Preoccupation with the EU's internal affairs risks ignoring the
extent to which Europe itself will now be shaped by foreign
affairs. The future of Europe lies in its own hands only if it
organizes itself to adjust to events in a world diplomatic system
over which it can hope to have only limited control. The global
setting in which Europe will have to find a place is the reverse
image of its post-1945 direction. Whereas Western Europe's states
have renounced 'power politics' among themselves, the rest of the
world has done no such thing. The basis of inter-state relations
remains remarkably similar to Rousseau's description as the
'constant action and reaction of powers in continued agitation'.
Failure to recognize the persistence of power politics is now among
the principal obstacles to Europe's future. It is as if recovery
from the nemesis of mid-century has produced hubris towards its
end. Europe finds it hard to accept that it must coexist with the
outside world on terms increasingly set not by its own virtuous
example of reconciliation among old enemies and the creation of
political union, but by states who see little reason to follow its
example. More fundamental than blueprints and policies for European
Monetary Union and the European Union enlargement, Europe needs a
trustworthy grasp of the world's foreign affairs to which its
diplomacy must apply and its statecraft contribute.
General
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