What is the exact nature of the consumption function? Can this
term be defined so that it will be consistent with empirical
evidence and a valid instrument in the hands of future economic
researchers and policy makers? In this volume a distinguished
American economist presents a new theory of the consumption
function, tests it against extensive statistical J material and
suggests some of its significant implications.
Central to the new theory is its sharp distinction between two
concepts of income, measured income, or that which is recorded for
a particular period, and permanent income, a longer-period concept
in terms of which consumers decide how much to spend and how much
to save. Milton Friedman suggests that the total amount spent on
consumption is on the average the same fraction of permanent
income, regardless of the size of permanent income. The magnitude
of the fraction depends on variables such as interest rate, degree
of uncertainty relating to occupation, ratio of wealth to income,
family size, and so on.
The hypothesis is shown to be consistent with budget studies and
time series data, and some of its far-reaching implications are
explored in the final chapter.
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