For generations, influential thinkers--often citing the tragic
polarization that took place during Germany's Great
Depression--have suspected that people's loyalty to democratic
institutions erodes under pressure and that citizens gravitate
toward antidemocratic extremes in times of political and economic
crisis. But do people really defect from democracy when times get
tough? Do ordinary people play a leading role in the collapse of
popular government?
Based on extensive research, this book overturns the common
wisdom. It shows that the German experience was exceptional, that
people's affinity for particular political positions are
surprisingly stable, and that what is often labeled polarization is
the result not of vote switching but of such factors as expansion
of the franchise, elite defections, and the mobilization of new
voters. Democratic collapses are caused less by changes in popular
preferences than by the actions of political elites who polarize
themselves and mistake the actions of a few for the preferences of
the many. These conclusions are drawn from the study of twenty
cases, including every democracy that collapsed in the aftermath of
the Russian Revolution in interwar Europe, every South American
democracy that fell to the Right after the Cuban Revolution, and
three democracies that avoided breakdown despite serious economic
and political challenges.
Unique in its historical and regional scope, this book offers
unsettling but important lessons about civil society and regime
change--and about the paths to democratic consolidation today.
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