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Russia's Revival - Ambitions, Limitations, and Opportunities for the United States: Institute for National Strategic Studies, Strategic Perspectives, No. 3 (Paperback)
Loot Price: R341
Discovery Miles 3 410
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Russia's Revival - Ambitions, Limitations, and Opportunities for the United States: Institute for National Strategic Studies, Strategic Perspectives, No. 3 (Paperback)
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Loot Price R341
Discovery Miles 3 410
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Independent Russia is approaching the start of its third decade of
post-Soviet existence. After the economic chaos of the Boris
Yeltsin decade and the recovery and stabilization of the Vladimir
Putin decade, Russia's leaders have high ambitions for a return to
great power status in the years ahead. Their aspirations are
tempered, however, by the realities of Russia's social, economic,
and military shortcomings and vulnerabilities, laid painfully bare
by the stress test of the recent global financial crisis. Looking
ahead, some also calculate that Russia will be increasingly
challenged in the Far East by a rising China and in the Middle East
by an Iran that aspires to regional hegemony. With energy riches
abundant enough to compensate for a multitude of governance and
managerial shortcomings, the Russian economy will likely continue
to grow in absolute terms in the years ahead. Indeed, if Russia
wants to remain a mediocre power, it can do so without effort by
not changing its current behavior patterns. But with growing
corruption, business stifling political controls, and dependency on
raw materials exports retarding the full potential of Russia's
growth, the country is facing the prospect of decades of decline
relative to other more dynamic regional and world powers. Russia
will retain its nuclear weapons and permanent veto-empowered seat
in the United Nations Security Council. But Russia will likely slip
on many of the measures commonly used to assess great power status:
size and vitality of its population, growth and vibrancy of its
economy, and the ability of its armed forces to project
conventional military power beyond its own borders. Russia will
continue to be the preponderant influence across a large swath of
former Soviet territory, but not beyond it. As a result, Moscow is
already seeking to strengthen Russia's ties with Europe and the
United States. The West is seen as crucial to Russia's
modernization as well as a hedge against what may develop to
Russia's east and south in coming decades. This process of Russia's
anchoring itself more firmly in the West will proceed with lots of
tactical hiccups and sporadic crises. Nevertheless, it will bring
consequences and opportunities for U.S. diplomacy and strategic
development, some of which the Barack Obama administration's policy
of "reset" is already reaping. But Russian policy toward the United
States is conditional on a U.S. approach that engages Russia in
positive ways. If that policy were to change, it could push Russia
and China closer together on some issues in an effort to constrain
the United States.
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