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Improving Health Care Cost Projections for the Medicare Population - Summary of a Workshop (Paperback)
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Improving Health Care Cost Projections for the Medicare Population - Summary of a Workshop (Paperback)
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List price R1,103
Loot Price R169
Discovery Miles 1 690
You Save R934 (85%)
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Developing credible short-term and long-term projections of
Medicare health care costs is critical for public- and
private-sector policy planning, but faces challenges and
uncertainties. There is uncertainty not only in the underlying
economic and demographic assumptions used in projection models, but
also in what a policy modeler assumes about future changes in the
health status of the population and the factors affecting health
status , the extent and pace of scientific and technological
breakthroughs in medical care, the preferences of the population
for particular kinds of care, the likelihood that policy makers
will alter current law and regulations, and how each of these
factors relates to health care costs for the elderly population.
Given the substantial growth in the Medicare population and the
continued increases in Medicare, Medicaid, and private health
insurance spending, the availability of well-specified models and
analyses that can provide useful information on the likely cost
implications of health care policy alternatives is essential. It is
therefore timely to review the capabilities and limitations of
extant health care cost models and to identify areas for research
that offer the most promise to improve modeling, not only of
current U.S. health care programs, but also of policy alternatives
that may be considered in the coming years. The National Research
Council conducted a public workshop focusing on areas of research
needed to improve health care cost projections for the Medicare
population, and on the strengths and weaknesses of competing
frameworks for projecting health care expenditures for the elderly.
The workshop considered major classes of projection and simulation
models that are currently used and the underlying data sources and
research inputs for these models. It also explored areas in which
additional research and data are needed to inform model development
and health care policy analysis more broadly. The workshop,
summarized in this volume, drew people from a wide variety of
disciplines and perspectives, including federal agencies, academia,
and nongovernmental organizations. Table of Contents Front Matter 1
Introduction 2 Current Models of Health Care Cost Projections 3
Modeling Medical Technology 4 Factors Affecting Health Status 5
Participants' Views on Needed Research References Appendixes
Appendix A: Predicting Medicare Cost Growth--John N. Friedman
Appendix B: Workshop Agenda and Presenters Appendix C: Biographical
Sketches of Steering Committee Members Committee on National
Statistics
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