The rise of other global powers is most often posed as a sorry
tale, full of threats to America's primacy, prosperity, and way of
life. The potential loss of our #1 status implies a blow to our
safety, economy, and prestige.
But this is a rare moment in history: none of the world's big
powers is our adversaries. In "The Next American Century," Nina
Hachigian and Mona Sutphen show that the "pivotal powers" -- China,
Europe, India, Japan, and Russia -- seek greater influence, but
each has an enormous stake in the world economy and a keen desire
to thwart common threats. India is a key ally in the struggle
against terrorism. China's help is essential to containing pandemic
disease. Russia is leading an effort to keep nuclear devices out of
terrorists' hands. Japan and Europe are critical partners in
tackling climate change. None of these countries is a direct
military or ideological challenger. In fact, their gains largely
help, rather than hurt, America's continuing prosperity, growth,
and, to some extent, even its values. Will we have conflicts with
these powers? Definitely. Some will be serious. But, by and large,
they want what we want: a stable world and better lives for their
citizens. We live in an era of opportunity, not of loss.
To take advantage of this moment, the United States must get its
own house in order, making sure that American children can compete,
American workers can adjust, America's military remains
cutting-edge, and American diplomacy entices rather than alienates.
While America must be prepared for the possibility that a hostile
superpower may one day emerge, it has to be careful not to turn a
distant, uncertain threat into an immediate one. Washington
shouldwelcome the pivotal powers into a vigorous international
order to share the burden of solving pressing global problems of
peace, climate, health, and growth.
The avenue to a truly safer and more prosperous world runs
through the pivotal powers. With them, we can build a world where
Americans will thrive, today and tomorrow.
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