Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages
business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it
low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it
to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on
national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy
of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and
Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different
aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on
likely inflation developments.
A number of factors have led practitioners and academic
observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently
on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation
targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now
encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada,
Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European
Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank
are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions
all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A
second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been
observed in most countries over the past decade or so.
These considerations underscore the critical - and largely
underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They
emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a
volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This
book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove
very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
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