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Volatility and Growth (Hardcover, New)
Loot Price: R1,704
Discovery Miles 17 040
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Volatility and Growth (Hardcover, New)
Series: Clarendon Lectures in Economics
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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It has long been recognized that productivity growth and the
business cycle are closely interrelated. Yet, until recently, the
two phenomena have been investigated separately in the economics
literature. This book provides the first consistent attempt to
analyze the effects of macroeconomic volatility on productivity
growth, and also the reverse causality from growth to business
cycles. The authors show that by looking at the economy through the
lens of private entrepreneurs, who invest under credit constraints,
one can go some way towards explaining persistent macroeconomic
volatility and the effects of volatility on growth. Beginning with
an analysis of the effects of volatility on growth, the authors
argue that the lower the level of financial development in a
country the more detrimental the effect of volatility on growth.
This prediction is confirmed by cross-country panel regressions.
The data also suggests that a fixed exchange rate regime or more
countercyclical budgetary policies are growth-enhancing in
countries with a lower level of financial development. The former
reduce aggregate volatility whereas the latter reduce the negative
effects of volatility on long-term productivity-enhancing
investment by firms. The book concludes with an investigation into
how the interplay between credit constraints and pecuniary
externalities is sufficient to generate persistent business cycles
and to explain the occurrence of currency crises.
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