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Finance's Wrong Turns - A New Foundation for Financial Markets, Asset Management, and Social Science (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2023)
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Finance's Wrong Turns - A New Foundation for Financial Markets, Asset Management, and Social Science (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2023)
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There is a foundational crisis in financial theory and professional
investment practice: There is little, if any, credible evidence
that active investment strategies and traditional institutional
quantitative technologies are able to provide superior
risk-adjusted, cost-adjusted return over investment relevant
horizons. Economic and financial theory has been in error for more
than fifty years and is the fundamental cause of the persistent
ineffectiveness of professional asset management. Contemporary
sociological and economic theory, agent-based modeling, and an
appreciation of the social context for preference theory provides a
rational and intuitive framework for understanding financial
markets and economic behavior. The author narrates his long-term
experience in the use and limitations of traditional tools of
quantitative asset management as an institutional asset manager in
practice and as a quantitative analyst and strategist on Wall
Street. Monte Carlo simulation methods, modern statistical tools,
and U.S. patented innovations are introduced to redefine portfolio
optimality and procedures for enhanced professional asset
management. A new social context for expected utility theory leads
to a novel understanding of modern equity markets as a financial
intermediary for purchasing power constant time-shift investing
uniquely appropriate for meeting investor long-term investment
objectives. This book addresses the limitations and indicated
resolutions for more useful financial theory and more reliable
asset management technology. In the process, it traces the major
historical developments of theory and institutional asset
management practice and their limitations over the course of the
20th century to the present, including Markowitz and the birth of
modern finance, CAPM theory and emergence of institutional
quantitative asset management, CAPM and VM theory limitations and
ineffective iconic tools and strategies, and innovations in
statistical methodologies and financial market theory.
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