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Multi-Polar Capitalism - The End of the Dollar Standard (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2022)
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Multi-Polar Capitalism - The End of the Dollar Standard (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2022)
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History teaches us important lessons, provided we can discern its
patterns. Multi-Polar Capitalism applies this insight to the
crucial, yet often underappreciated issue of international monetary
relations. When international monetary systems get first put into
place successfully, such as the "classic" gold standard in 1879,
Bretton Woods in 1945, or the dollar standard in 1982, they
structure relations between the system's centre and the rest of the
world so that others can catch up to the leader. But this
growth-promoting constellation, a vector for accelerating
globalization, runs its course eventually amidst mounting
overproduction conditions in key sectors and spreading financial
instability. Such periods of global crisis, from the Great
Depression of the 1930s to stagflation in the 1970s and creeping
deflation during much of the 2010s, force restructuring and policy
reforms until conditions are ripe for a renewed phase of sustained
expansion. We are facing such a turning point now. As we are moving
from a US-dominated world economy towards a multi-polar
configuration, we will also see the longstanding dollar standard
give way to a multi-currency system. Three currency blocs rooted in
the dollar, euro, and yuan will be dominated respectively by the
United States, the European Union, and China, each a power centre
representing a distinct variant of capitalism. Their complex mix of
competition and cooperation necessitates new "rules of the game"
promoting the shared pursuit of global public goods, in particular
the impending zero-carbon transition, lest we allow fragmentation
and conflict shape this next chapter of our history. Multi-Polar
Capitalism adds to a century of research and debate on long waves,
those roughly half-century cycles first identified by the great
Soviet economist Nikolai Kondratiev in the early 1920s, by
highlighting the role of the international monetary system in this
distinct boom-and-bust pattern.
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