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Budget rigidity in Latin America and the Caribbean - causes, consequences, and policy implications (Paperback)
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Budget rigidity in Latin America and the Caribbean - causes, consequences, and policy implications (Paperback)
Series: International development in focus
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Policy makers in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) often
complain that poor fiscal performance in their countries is a
result of a high degree of spending rigidity. Despite being a
common complaint, the issue has remained largely ignored by the
literature because of the lack of adequate measures of rigidity
that allow cross-country and time series comparability. This report
helps close this gap by introducing a new measure of spending
rigidities that can be easily applied to multiple countries. It
focuses on the categories of spending that are naturally
inflexible--wages, pensions, transfers to subnational governments,
and debt service--and separates them into two components:
structural and nonstructural. The structural component is
determined by economic, demographic, and institutional
fundamentals. The nonstructural component is determined by
short-run transitory factors associated with business and political
cycles. The degree of rigidity of spending is then proxied by the
ratio of structural spending to total spending, with a higher value
indicating that spending is driven mostly by factors out of the
policy makers' control. This concept of rigidity was applied to 120
countries for the years 2000+"17 and produced several interesting
results: - Advanced economies and developing countries in other
regions have higher levels of rigidity than countries in LAC. - The
sources of rigidity vary by country. - Higher rigidity is
associated with higher spending levels, higher tax rates, higher
public debt, and lower efficiency of public spending. - Rigidity
has pervasive effects on fiscal sustainability, increasing the
country's financing needs and reducing the probability of the
country starting a fiscal adjustment. Given these pervasive effects
of spending rigidity, the report concludes by discussing several
policies to contain the sources of rigidity in the long term,
ranging from the importance of deepening the pension reform process
to the need of establishing strong fiscal institutions promoting
medium-term fiscal planning.
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