National intelligence agencies have long adjusted to the
opportunities and threats from new technologies. From spy planes
and satellites to the internet, they have created structures,
concepts, and practices to best apply these new capabilities. But
recent technological developments are different in kind.
Increasingly affordable to non-governmental actors, they are
powerful enough to overwhelm and marginalize much of what agencies
do. So far, the large intelligence agencies have been too slow to
recognize the need for transformation. They believe they can work
emerging technologies into the current paradigm just as they have
with other advances. This book argues that only with a new paradigm
can they take up this fundamentally new technological challenge.
The book explores this fast-developing world for intelligence
agencies and offers a path for maintaining their effectiveness and
centrality. Along the way it analyzes the emerging technologies and
explains how these will likely affect intelligence work. The Future
of National Intelligence: How Emerging Technologies Reshape
Intelligence Communities draws on a broad review of the academic
literature, a deep familiarity with the relevant technologies, and
extensive interviews and surveys with both intelligence
practitioners and technology entrepreneurs. It lays out the
principles for agency leaders to consider as they work on this
essential transformation.
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