How can countries decide what kind of military forces they need, if
threats are uncertain and history is full of strategic surprises?
This is a question that is more pertinent than ever, as countries
across the Asia-Pacific are faced with the military and economic
rise of China. Uncertainty is inherent in defence planning, but
different types of uncertainty mean that countries need to approach
decisions about military force structure in different ways. This
book examines four different basic frameworks for defence planning,
and demonstrates how states can make decisions coherently about the
structure and posture of their defence forces despite strategic
uncertainty. It draws on case studies from the United States,
Australian and New Zealand, each of which developed key concepts
for their particular circumstances and risk perception in Asia.
Success as well as failure in developing coherent defence planning
frameworks holds lessons for the United States and other countries
as they consider how best to structure their military forces for
the uncertain challenges of the future.
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