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China, the US and the Power-Transition Theory - A Critique (Hardcover, New)
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China, the US and the Power-Transition Theory - A Critique (Hardcover, New)
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China's recent growth has called attention to the power-transition
theory, which contends that the danger of a major war is the
greatest when a rising dissatisfied challenger threatens to
overtake a declining satisfied hegemon. Steve Chan questions this
prevailing view by analyzing the extent of ongoing power shifts
among the leading powers, exploring the portents for their future
growth, and seeking indicators of their relative commitment to the
existing international order. To better understand the strategic
motivations of ascending and declining states, insights are drawn
from prospect theory and past episodes of peaceful and violent
transition (such as the end of the Cold War and the outbreak of the
First and Second World Wars). He concludes that China is unlikely
to instigate a confrontation with the US, and that whilst military
conflict over the Taiwan Strait is possible, this is more likely to
be due to China's inability to prevent US involvement than its
willingness to provoke the US. This book places China in a
comparative and historical context, in which inquiry is informed by
the experiences of other major powers and pertinent theories in
international relations, such as those on extended deterrence,
preventive war, and democratic peace. Its comparative and
theoretical orientation and its contrarian perspective will be of
great interest not only to students and scholars of international
relations and Chinese politics, but also to policy makers and
professionals.
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