Based on a detailed study of 35 cases in Africa, Asia, Latin
America, and post-communist Eurasia, this book explores the fate of
competitive authoritarian regimes between 1990 and 2008. It finds
that where social, economic, and technocratic ties to the West were
extensive, as in Eastern Europe and the Americas, the external cost
of abuse led incumbents to cede power rather than crack down, which
led to democratization. Where ties to the West were limited,
external democratizing pressure was weaker and countries rarely
democratized. In these cases, regime outcomes hinged on the
character of state and ruling party organizations. Where incumbents
possessed developed and cohesive coercive party structures, they
could thwart opposition challenges, and competitive authoritarian
regimes survived; where incumbents lacked such organizational
tools, regimes were unstable but rarely democratized.
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