The Iranian regime is in the midst of a dangerous nuclear poker
game with the West, playing for the highest possible stakes. Iran,
ruled today by Ali Khamenei, the Guide of the Revolution, and the
recently elected President Ahmadinejad, has no intention of
yielding to international pressure exhorting it to suspend all
uranium enrichment activity, a necessary but intermediate step in
the process of building nuclear weapons. Iran is also seeking to
join the WTO and it had been offered this incentive by the United
States and the EU '3' (France, Britain and Germany) in exchange for
a promise to cease enrichment. However, President Ahmadinejad's 12
April announcement that Iran has successfully enriched uranium
takes the crisis to a higher plane. It also leaves many questions
unanswered, above all, how the international community should
respond to this unwelcome development. In this hard-hitting
analysis of Tehran's intentions, Therese Delpech, one of the
world's leading authorities on international nuclear security,
outlines how Iran has successfully beguiled the international
community for years, aided and abetted by China and Russia, both of
which are eager to benefit commercially from Iran acquiring nuclear
power. She dissects Iran's nuclear programme in minute detail,
drawing on her inside knowledge. The first section of the book
retraces the history of Iran's nuclear project from the 1970s --
one that was launched by the former Shah with help from several
Western countries -- till today, when national pride, exemplified
by Ahmadinejad's bellicose rhetoric, makes it highly unlikely that
Tehran will bow to the diktats of the international community. She
also examines the period when the programme was resumed, during
Iran's war with Iraq (1985-90). The second section picks apart the
strategy of the various actors in this global crisis: Iran, the EU
'3', the United States, Russia, China and the IAEA (the
International Atomic Energy Agency). In the third section, she sets
out the various possible solutions in terms of their feasibility,
practically and politically: dismantling by force, supervised third
party reprocessing, referral to the Security Council, Iranian
appeasement. In conclusion, Delpech unravels the tangled regional
and international dimensions of the crisis, setting out the
enormous impact it is having on the Persian Gulf, Turkey, Israel,
America's presence in Iraq and the wider Middle East and the future
of the much weakened Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NTP).
General
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