Understanding how insurgencies may be brought to a successful
conclusion is vital to military strategists and policymakers.This
study examines how past insurgencies have ended and how current
ones may be resolved. Four ways in which insurgencies have ended
are identified. Clear-cut victories for either the government or
the insurgents occurred during the era of decolonization, but they
seldom happen today. Recent insurgencies have often degenerated
into criminal organizations committed to making money rather than
fighting a revolution or into terrorist groups capable of nothing
more than sporadic violence. In a few cases, the threatened
government has resolved the conflict by co-opting the insurgents.
After achieving a strategic stalemate and persuading the
belligerents that they have nothing to gain from continued
fighting, these governments have drawn the insurgents into the
legitimate political process through reform and concessions.
General
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