"As a global power, the United States will always be interested
in Eurasia and engaged with its peoples and nations. Eurasia is too
large and important a part of the world to be ignored. It casts a
shadow of the old Soviet threat forward in time, and its axis-the
Russian Federation-is nuclear-armed. So are its neighbors, China to
the east, India and Pakistan to the south; and there are others in
the queue. Eurasia's new nations are players on today's most urgent
global issues: terrorism; counterproliferation of weapons of mass
destruction; economic stability and growth (including its energy
centerpiece); stable political development (including
democratization, its long-term key). . . . So the context for why
Eurasia matters is very large." from Eurasia's New Frontiers
In Eurasia's New Frontiers, Thomas W. Simons, Jr., a
distinguished veteran of the U.S. Foreign Service with extensive
experience in the Communist and post-Communist worlds, assays the
political, economic, and social developments in the fifteen
successor states to the Soviet Union that comprise Eurasia from
Estonia to Azerbaijan and from Tajikistan to Ukraine, centered on
Russia. He makes a compelling case that the United States can play
a large role in shaping the future of this vast and strategic
region, and at less cost than during Soviet times. This can only be
accomplished, however, if U.S. policy toward Eurasia shifts from
alternating hand-wringing and indifference to steady and flexible
engagement that focuses on its fledgling individual
nation-states.
Throughout Eurasia, Simons shows, civil society is anemic,
market reforms have been discredited, and political development has
been stunted. Authoritarian and semiauthoritarian regimes are
firmly in place from Belarus to Central Asia; in Ukraine, Moldova,
and even Russia, some democratic forms have taken hold; but
everywhere, politics features struggle among elites over access to
economic resources, albeit often defined in terms of "sovereignty."
Almost everywhere, states are consolidating: as resurgent Russia
presses on its neighbors, they can now press back, alone or with
help from the outside world. Simons believes that the post-Soviet
space needs stable development of state institutions within which
new civil societies can take root and grow. Potentially strong
state institutions are, in his view, Soviet Communism's "secret
gift" to Eurasia, and they may well enable the region to become in
time an arc of promise, an anchor of relative stability in a
troubled part of the world.
For that to happen, Simons argues, the nationalism that gives
content to these new state structures must be the right kind: civic
and inclusionary rather than ethno-religious and exclusionary.
Because Russia is so diverse and its nationalism so state-oriented,
Simons also sees it as more likely to develop that kind of civic
nationalism than some of its new neighbors. The United States has a
limited but real role to play in helping or hindering its emergence
everywhere in Eurasia. If it wishes to help, though, the U.S. must
realize that in this part of the world the path to democracy leads
through state development. The U.S. will continue to advocate for
its core values, but it can best act as a City on the Hill for
Eurasia if its policy centers on the emerging new states of today,
for they must be the incubators of tomorrow's civil societies."
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