Perhaps the greatest lesson the Israeli Air Force should have
learned from the five-year campaign against Palestinian militants
in the Occupied Territories was the danger inherent in planning
from past success. It had long been accustomed to fight short,
sharp, conventional wars. Operation Ebb and Flow demonstrates that
the IAF understood urban COIN threats at least as poorly as its own
role in combating them. Indeed, its overwhelming preference for the
blunt application of kinetic force proved as beneficial to
Palestinian terrorists as to Israel. More than any other instrument
of Israeli power, the IAF united Palestinian militant groups;
generated publicity and sympathy for those groups; provided
incentives for terrorist recruitment; and polarized Israeli society
to a degree unseen since the Lebanon War in the 1980s.
General
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