Against the long sweep of economic history, the current moment
is special. Living standards advanced so rapidly and across so many
countries over the last decade that it is difficult to think of
parallels --even the deepest recession since the Great Depression
did not halt progress.
In "Juggernaut," Uri Dadush and William Shaw explore the rise of
developing countries and how they will reshape the economic
landscape. Dadush and Shaw project that the global economy will
more than triple over the next forty years and the advance of a
large group of developing countries --home to most of the world's
population but seen as supplicants rather than trendsetters less
than a generation ago --will drive this improvement. The authors
systematically examine the effects of this seismic shift on the
main avenues of globalization --trade, finance, migration, and the
global commons --and identify the policy options available to
leaders in managing the transformation.
In the years to come, the rise of emerging economies will likely
enhance prosperity but also create great tensions that could slow
the process or even stop it in its tracks. Juggernaut calls for
leadership by the largest countries in managing these tensions, and
underscores the need to cultivate a "global conscience."
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