Today the United States has little leverage to promote change in
Cuba. Indeed, Cuba enjoys normal relations with virtually every
country in the world, and American attempts to isolate the Cuban
government have served only to elevate its symbolic predicament as
an "underdog" in the international arena. A new policy of
engagement toward Cuba is long overdue . -From the Introduction As
longtime U.S. diplomats Vicki Huddleston and Carlos Pascual make
painfully clear in their introduction, the United States is long
overdue in rethinking its policy toward Cuba. This is a propitious
time for such an undertaking -the combination of change within Cuba
and in the Cuban American community creates the most significant
opening for a reassessment of U.S. policy since Fidel Castro took
control in 1959. To that end, Huddleston and Pascual convened
opinion leaders in the Cuban American community, leading scholars,
and international diplomats from diverse backgrounds and political
orientations to seek common ground on U.S. policy toward Cuba. This
pithy yet authoritative analysis is the result. In the quest for
ideas that would support the emergence of a peaceful, prosperous,
and democratic Cuba -one in which the Cuban people shape their
political and economic future -the authors conducted a series of
simulations to identify the critical factors that the U.S.
government should consider as it reformulates its Cuba policies.
The advisers' wide-ranging expertise was applied to a series of
hypothetical scenarios in which participants tested how different
U.S. policy responses would affect a political transition in Cuba.
By modeling and analyzing the decisionmaking processes of the
various strategic actors and stakeholders, the simulations
identified factors that might influence the success or failure of
specific policy options. They then projected how key actors such as
the Cuban hierarchy, civil society, and the international and Cuban
American communities might act and react to internal and external
events that would logically be expected to occur in the near
future. The lessons drawn from these simulations led to the
unanimous conclusion that the United States should adopt a
proactive policy of critical and constructive engagement toward
Cuba.
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