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The World Economy - History & Prospect (Paperback)
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The World Economy - History & Prospect (Paperback)
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This monumental study is an account of the world economy since the
eighteenth century, an analysis and prescription for the future,
and a challenge to the neo-Keynesian theories of income
determination and growth. It is based on some forty years of
research and teaching. First published in 1978, the volume looks
back over the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. It includes an
analysis of how the world's population expanded from about1 billion
in 1800 to 4 billion in 1976, with some 6.5 billion in sight for
the year 2000; an account of the expansion and distribution of
industrial production and trade during this period; and an analysis
of price and relative price movements since the eighteenth
century.Rostow gives a detailed description of the Kondratieff long
cycles in the relative scarcity and abundance of food and raw
materials and reasons that the world economy enteredthe fifth
Kondratieff upswing at the close of 1972. He also examines the
changing pat-tern of business cycles over the whole sweep of modern
economic growth and the failureof the post-1945 world economy to
control inflation. The volume also includes short eco-nomic
histories of twenty national economies responsible for 80 percent
of the world's production, based on a collection of computerized
aggregate and sectoral data. Each historical section leads
naturally into one or more of the major problems dealt with in the
final portion of the book, which looks to the future of the world
economy: food, population, energy, raw materials, the environment,
and the tasks of national and international policy. Rostow argued,
counter to the Limits to Growth doctrine, that the critical period
for industrial civilization lay in the last twenty-five years of
the twentieth century, rather than in the twenty-first century, and
that what we did or failed to do inthat generation would determine
the shape of the longer future. No other economic history of this
depth and breadth exists. It is a reference for economists,
economic historians, and other social scientists as well as the
informed lay reader.
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