These essays examine several aspects of the nature of the
emerging strategic environment and how this situation affects
thinking about U.S. strategy in the 21st century. The United States
and its Allies currently confront a number of major trouble spots
around the world. In addition, the stability and defense policies
of U.S. Allies represent an increasingly important factor in the
making of U.S. foreign policy. How well the American military is
adjusting to the post-Cold War world with the threats of declining
defense budgets and rapid changes in technology, will be a
determining factor in the course of the coming decade. Here, the
discussion of an impending joint military culture and service
cultures out of touch with the harsh realities of the emerging
strategic environment combine in a dramatic prediction of 21st
century foreign strategies.
The Balkans, the Middle East, and Russia all present
considerable defense planning difficulties with no obvious
solutions. The Balkans represent the clearest immediate danger, as
the weight of history and current political ambitions threaten to
destabilize Europe's southeastern flank. In the mid-term range are
Middle Eastern concerns such as water shortages, border disputes,
and new rivalries, all of which unbalance an area whose oil
reserves fuel the world economy. Finally, the Russian military
collapse suggests that the future Russian threat may result more
from national weakness than from strength.
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