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The Economy and the Vote - Economic Conditions and Elections in Fifteen Countries (Paperback, New)
Loot Price: R792
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The Economy and the Vote - Economic Conditions and Elections in Fifteen Countries (Paperback, New)
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Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past
research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This
book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take
account of electoral competition between parties. A research
strategy to correct this problem is designed and applied to
investigate effects of economic conditions on (individual) voter
choices and (aggregate) election outcomes over 42 elections in 15
countries. It shows that economic conditions exert small effects on
individual party preferences, which can have large consequences for
election outcomes. In countries where responsibility for economic
policy is clear, voters vote retrospectively and reward or punish
incumbent parties - although in coalition systems smaller
government parties often gain at the expense of the largest party
when economic conditions deteriorate. Where clarity of
responsibility for economic policy is less clear, voters vote more
prospectively on the basis of expected party policies.
General
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