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Books > Reference & Interdisciplinary > Communication studies > Decision theory
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Irregularities and Prediction of Major Disasters (Paperback)
Loot Price: R1,942
Discovery Miles 19 420
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Irregularities and Prediction of Major Disasters (Paperback)
Expected to ship within 12 - 19 working days
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Although scientists have effectively employed the concepts of
probability to address the complex problem of prediction, modern
science still falls short in establishing true predictions with
meaningful lead times of zero-probability major disasters. The
recent earthquakes in Haiti, Chile, and China are tragic reminders
of the critical need for improved methods of predicting natural
disasters. Drawing on their vast practical experience and
theoretical studies, Dr. Yi Lin and Professor Shoucheng OuYang
examine some of the problems that exist in the modern system of
science to provide the understanding required to improve our
ability to forecast and prepare for such events. Presenting a
series of new understandings, theories, and a new system of
methodology, Irregularities and Prediction of Major Disasters
simplifies the world-class problem of prediction into a series of
tasks that can be learned, mastered, and applied in the analysis
and prediction of forthcoming changes in materials or fluids. These
internationally respected authors introduce their novel method of
digitization for dealing with irregular information, proven
effective for predicting transitional changes in events. They also:
Unveil a new methodology for forecasting zero-probability natural
disasters Highlight the reasons for common forecasting failures
Propose a method for resolving the mystery of nonlinearity Include
numerous real-life case studies that illustrate how to properly
digitize available information Supply proven methods for
forecasting small-probability natural disasters This authoritative
resource provides a systematic discussion of the non-evolutionality
of the modern system of science-analyzing its capabilities and
limitations. By touching on the n
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