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Books > Reference & Interdisciplinary > Communication studies > Decision theory
The Protection of Subjects in Human Research rule by the USEPA,
including the establishment of the Human Studies Review Board
(HSRB), has resulted in changes to both study design and study
evaluation processes, particularly with respect to ethical
considerations. Non-Dietary Human Exposure andRisk Assessment is a
compilation of the presentations given in a symposium of the same
name at the 238th ACS National Meeting in Washington D.C. The
purpose of the symposium was to provide a forum for scientists from
industry, academia, and government to share investigative methods
used to generate data for use in non-dietary human risk assessments
and to share methodology for performing and evaluating those
assessments.
This compilation is intended to provide the reader with a concise
overview of the current status of both the scientific and
regulatory aspects of non-dietary human exposure and risk
assessment as applied to pesticides. It is the hope of the editors
that it will also be the starting point for discussions leading to
the further refinement of study and risk assessment design, data
evaluation, and regulatory harmonization.
Three major areas are covered in this symposium edition. The first
area is regulatory issues including the development of the
Protection of Subjects in Human Research rule and the HSRB,
statistical procedures involved in designing human exposure
studies, handling of the data generated in those studies, and
quality assurance processes related to worker exposure studies. The
second area, study design, includes processes for the
identification and recruitment of volunteers for human exposure
studies, overviews of several studies that have been recently
performed, the development of procedures for evaluating the
resulting data by Regulatory Agencies, and efforts towards
international cooperation in the generation and use of exposure
data. The final area, methodology, includes examples of the
development of methods for the analysis of samples generated in
non-dietary human exposure studies with particular emphasis on the
use of hyphenated techniques and the development of a model for
determining greenhouse exposures that is currently being used in
Europe.
Risk model validation is an emerging and important area of
research, and has arisen because of Basel I and II. These
regulatory initiatives require trading institutions and lending
institutions to compute their reserve capital in a highly analytic
way, based on the use of internal risk models. It is part of the
regulatory structure that these risk models be validated both
internally and externally, and there is a great shortage of
information as to best practise. Editors Christodoulakis and
Satchell collect papers that are beginning to appear by regulators,
consultants, and academics, to provide the first collection that
focuses on the quantitative side of model validation. The book
covers the three main areas of risk: Credit Risk and Market and
Operational Risk.
*Risk model validation is a requirement of Basel I and II
*The first collection of papers in this new and developing area of
research
*International authors cover model validation in credit, market,
and operational risk
Everyone makes decisions, but not everyone is a decision analyst. A
decision analyst uses quantitative models and computational methods
to formulate decision algorithms, assess decision performance,
identify and evaluate options, determine trade-offs and risks,
evaluate strategies for investigation, and so on. This book is
written for decision analysts.
The term "decision analyst" covers an extremely broad range of
practitioners. Virtually all engineers involved in design (of
buildings, machines, processes, etc.) or analysis (of safety,
reliability, feasibility, etc.) are decision analysts, usually
without calling themselves by this name. In addition to engineers,
decision analysts work in planning offices for public agencies, in
project management consultancies, they are engaged in manufacturing
process planning and control, in financial planning and economic
analysis, in decision support for medical or technological
diagnosis, and so on and on. Decision analysts provide quantitative
support for the decision-making process in all areas where
systematic decisions are made.
This second edition entails changes of several sorts. First,
info-gap theory has found application in several new areas -
especially biological conservation, economic policy formulation,
preparedness against terrorism, and medical decision-making.
Pertinent new examples have been included. Second, the combination
of info-gap analysis with probabilistic decision algorithms has
found wide application. Consequently "hybrid" models of
uncertainty, which were treated exclusively in a separate chapter
in the previous edition, now appear throughout the book as well as
in a separate chapter. Finally, info-gapexplanations of
robust-satisficing behavior, and especially the Ellsberg and Allais
"paradoxes," are discussed in a new chapter together with a theorem
indicating when robust-satisficing will have greater probability of
success than direct optimizing with uncertain models.
* New theory developed systematically.
* Many examples from diverse disciplines.
* Realistic representation of severe uncertainty.
* Multi-faceted approach to risk.
* Quantitative model-based decision theory.
A one-stop shop to answer your most pressing questions about what
it takes to facilitate. Workshops, committees, teams, and study
groups are a regular part of an educator's professional life, and
any educator can find themselves in the facilitator role, with a
responsibility to aid the group in achieving its goals. The
Effective Facilitator's Handbook is here to help. Professional
development expert Cathy A. Toll has written a guide for busy
facilitators, starting with four simple rules for successful
facilitation: listen, start with the end in mind, lead with
productive tools, and stay organized. The processes, tools, and
templates in each chapter are easy to apply and offer advice about
how to create a welcoming environment, set the right tone,
understand the group's dynamics, improve communication, and more.
This book walks you through the unique purposes, pitfalls, and
needs of specific types of groups, whether it's a professional
development workshop, a committee focused on one decision or
problem, a team that regularly collaborates for student success, or
a study group learning about a specific issue. But Toll also
considers the bigger picture and connects the patterns behind
different types of facilitation skills that will serve you in a
variety of situations and settings. As an effective facilitator,
you'll be able to increase the value of group time, foster
engagement, and help teachers improve their practice so that they
can bring their best to the classroom each day.
Lara Buchak sets out an original account of the principles that
govern rational decision-making in the face of risk. A distinctive
feature of these decisions is that individuals are forced to
consider how their choices will turn out under various
circumstances, and decide how to trade off the possibility that a
choice will turn out well against the possibility that it will turn
out poorly. The orthodox view is that there is only one acceptable
way to do this: rational individuals must maximize expected
utility. Buchak's contention, however, is that the orthodox theory
(expected utility theory) dictates an overly narrow way in which
considerations about risk can play a role in an individual's
choices. Combining research from economics and philosophy, she
argues for an alternative, more permissive, theory of
decision-making: one that allows individuals to pay special
attention to the worst-case or best-case scenario (among other
'global features' of gambles). This theory, risk-weighted expected
utility theory, better captures the preferences of actual
decision-makers. Furthermore, it isolates the distinct roles that
beliefs, desires, and risk-attitudes play in decision-making.
Finally, contra the orthodox view, Buchak argues that
decision-makers whose preferences can be captured by risk-weighted
expected utility theory are rational. Thus, Risk and Rationality is
in many ways a vindication of the ordinary
decision-maker-particularly his or her attitude towards risk-from
the point of view of even ideal rationality.
Students learning math are expected to do more than just solve
problems; they must also be able to demonstrate their thinking and
share their ideas, both orally and in writing. As many classroom
teachers have discovered, these can be challenging tasks for
students. The good news is, mathematical communication can be
taught and mastered. In Teaching Students to Communicate
Mathematically, Laney Sammons provides practical assistance for K-8
classroom teachers. Drawing on her vast knowledge and experience as
a classroom teacher, she covers the basics of effective
mathematical communication and offers specific strategies for
teaching students how to speak and write about math. Sammons also
presents useful suggestions for helping students incorporate
correct vocabulary and appropriate representations when presenting
their mathematical ideas. This must-have resource will help you
help your students improve their understanding of and their skill
and confidence in mathematical communication.
What is a true learning organization, and how can your school
become one? To excel, schools must embrace continuous school
improvement and evaluation, as well as systems thinking. In
Measuring What We Do in Schools, author Victoria L. Bernhardt
details the critical role program evaluation serves in school
success and how to implement meaningful evaluations that make a
difference. She provides a roadmap of how to conduct comprehensive,
systemwide evaluations of programs and processes; the tools needed
to obtain usable, pertinent information; and how to use these data
to expand teachers' and administrators' data-informed
decision-making focus. Educators will learn how to Assess what is
working and not working for students. Determine which processes
need to change. Use data to improve practices on an ongoing basis.
Although challenging for many schools, program evaluation and data
analysis can begin with a single program or process, over time
building on the expanded knowledge of the school's processes and
the results they produce. An effective tool-The Program Evaluation
Tool-enables schools to easily identify the purpose and intended
outcomes of any school program, along with whom it serves, and how
it should be implemented, monitored, and evaluated. These data can
then be used to improve every aspect of a school's programs and
processes and the outcomes achieved. Filled with practical
strategies and featuring an in-depth case study, this book is
designed to help educators see that evaluation work is logical and
easy to do. They'll gain the confidence to do this work on a
regular basis-working together to become a true learning
organization.
In K-12 education, your job title or place of work should not
prevent you from offering unique insights and pathways for creating
change. You have a voice. Working in education today is to
continually be on the precipice of change. However, far too many
educators don't recognize the power they have to control and shape
that change into what's best for students. Individual contributions
create collective change, and you are an integral part of the
change inevitably happening around you. With that in mind, Ashley
Lamb-Sinclair invites you to identify and examine your personal
leadership style (or change archetype), which includes what
motivates you, how you respond to adversity, how you position
yourself in the larger story, how you help move that story forward,
and how you deal with the unexpected. How do you create change? You
might be a Diplomat if you build relationships and value fairness
and integrity. Champion if you are passionate about a cause and
advocate for people and ideals. Creative if you approach things
through novelty and ingenuity. Storyteller if you are thoughtful,
attentive to details, and a clear communicator. Inventor if you are
a forward thinker who operates through free experimentation. Sage
if you are perceptive, insightful, and persuasive. Investigator if
you have an analytical curiosity, ask probing questions, and
conduct thorough research. Guardian if you have compassion for and
are drawn to nurture and protect others.Many schools tend to ignore
or underestimate the powerful catalysts for change that exist in
their buildings. Don't let the change story continue without its
most vital character-you! Find the lightning bolts of lasting
change only you can wield. Become unstoppable!
Design thinking is a person-centered, problem-solving process
that's a go-to for innovative businesses and gaining traction with
school leaders interested in positive change. But understanding
design thinking is one thing; actually putting it in play is
something else. Authors Alyssa Gallagher and Kami Thordarson offer
educators a practical guide for navigating design thinking's
invigorating challenges and reaping its considerable rewards. They
dig deep into the five-stage design thinking process, highlighting
risk factors and recommending specific steps to keep you moving
forward. The 25 downloadable and reproducible tools provide prompts
and supports that will help you and your team: Identify change
opportunities. Dig deeper into complex problems. Analyze topics to
isolate specific challenges. Connect with and solve for user needs.
Apply what you've learned about users to design challenges.
Maximize brainstorming power. Create and employ solution
prototypes. Pitch solutions and secure buy-in from stakeholders.
Organize and analyze user feedback. Map out a solution's specific
actions and resource requirements. Design Thinking in Play is a
must-have for education leaders who are tired of waiting for
someone else to solve their problems and ready to take action, have
fun, and leverage collective insight to figure out what will really
work for their school, their colleagues, and their students.
Schools across the United States and Canada are disrupting the
adverse effects of poverty and supporting students in ways that
enable them to succeed in school and in life. In this second
edition, Parrett and Budge show you how your school can achieve
similar results. Expanding on their original framework's
still-critical concepts of actions and school culture, they
incorporate new insights for addressing equity, trauma, and
social-emotional learning. These fresh perspectives combine with
lessons learned from 12 additional high-poverty, high-performing
schools to form the updated and enhanced Framework for Collective
Action. Emphasizing students' social, emotional, and academic
learning as the hub for all action in high-performing, high-poverty
schools, the authors describe how educators can work within the
expanded Framework to address the needs of all students, but
particularly those who live in poverty. Equipped with the Framework
and a plethora of tools to build collective efficacy
(self-assessments, high-leverage questions, action advice, and
more), school and district leaders-as well as teachers, teacher
leaders, instructional coaches, and other staff-can close
persistent opportunity gaps and reverse longstanding patterns of
low achievement.
Literary Nonfiction. Philosophy. Economics & Statistics.
Translated from the German by Karen Leeder. Acclaimed poet,
essayist, and cultural critic Hans Magnus Enzensberger takes a
fresh, sobering look at our faith in statistics, our desire to
predict the future, and our dependence on fortuitousness. Tracing
the interface between chance and probability in medical
diagnostics, risk models, economics, and the fluctuations of
financial markets, FATAL NUMBERS goes straight to the heart of what
it means to live, plan, and make decisions in a globalized,
digitized, hyperlinked, science-driven, and uncertain world.
Foreword by Gerd Gigerenzer. Illustrations by David Fried.
What will it take to create truly contemporary learning
environments that meet the demands of 21st-century society, engage
learners, and produce graduates who are prepared to succeed in the
world? What skills and capacities do teachers and leaders need to
create and sustain such schools? What actions are necessary? Bold
Moves for Schools offers a compelling vision that answers these
questions-and action steps to make the vision a reality. Looking
through the lenses of three pedagogies-antiquated, classical, and
contemporary-authors Heidi Hayes Jacobs and Marie Hubley Alcock
examine every aspect of K-12 education, including curriculum,
instruction, assessment, and the program structures of space (both
physical and virtual), time, and grouping of learners and
professionals. In a new job description for teachers, Jacobs and
Alcock highlight and expound on the following roles:
Self-navigating professional learner. Social contractor. Media
critic and media maker. Innovative designer. Globally connected
citizen. Advocate for learners and learning. With thought-provoking
proposals and practical strategies for change, Bold Moves for
Schools sets educators on the path to redefining their profession
and creating exciting new learning environments. The challenge is
unprecedented. The possibilities are unlimited.
In How to Make Decisions with Different Kinds of Student Assessment
Data, best-selling author Susan M. Brookhart helps teachers and
administrators understand the critical elements and nuances of
assessment data and how that information can best be used to inform
improvement efforts in the school or district. Readers will learn:
What different kinds of data can-and cannot-tell us about student
learning. What different analyses reveal about changes in student
achievement. How to interpret, use, and share relevant data. How to
create a model to go from problem to solution in a data-based
decision-making process. With easy-to-understand explanations,
supplemented by examples and scenarios from actual schools, this
book offers a path to better understanding, more accurate
interpretation of assessment results, and-most important-more
effective use of data to improve teaching and learning.
In this lively and practical book, seasoned educator Jonathan
Cassie shines a spotlight on gamification, an instructional
approach that's revolutionizing K-12 education. Games are well
known for their ability to inspire persistence. The best ones
feature meaningful choices that have lasting consequences, reward
experimentation, provide a like-minded community of players, and
gently punish failure and encourage risk-taking behavior. Players
feel challenged, but not overwhelmed. A gamified lesson bears these
same hallmarks. It is explicitly gamelike in its design and fosters
perseverance, creativity, and resilience. Students build knowledge
through experimentation and then apply what they've learned to fuel
further exploration at higher levels of understanding. In this
book, Cassie covers: What happens to student learning when it is
gamified. Why you might want to gamify instruction for your
students. The process for gamifying both your classroom and your
lessons. If you want to see your students engaged, motivated, and
excited about learning, join Jonathan Cassie on a journey that will
add a powerful new set of ideas and practices to your teaching
toolkit. The gamified classroom-an exciting new frontier of 21st
century learning-awaits you and your students. Will you answer the
call?
Decision-making is an activity in which everyone is engaged on a
more or less daily basis. In this book, Karin Brunsson and Nils
Brunsson explore the intricacies of decision-making for individuals
and organizations. When, how and why do they make decisions? The
authors identify four distinct ways of reasoning that
decision-makers use. The consequences of decisions vary: some
promote action, others impede it, and some produce more
responsibility than others. With in-depth discussions of
rationality, justifications and hypocrisy, the authors show how
organizational and political decision processes become
over-complicated and difficult for both decision makers and
external observers to understand. Decisions is a concise and
easy-to-read introduction to a highly significant and intriguing
topic. Based on research from several fields, it provides useful
reading and essential knowledge for scholars and students
throughout the social sciences and for everyone who wants to
understand their own decisions and those of others.
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