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Books > Reference & Interdisciplinary > Communication studies > Decision theory
1. Fully aligned to the NEBOSH International Certificate in Health
and Safety (IGC) 2019 syllabus 2. An authoritative and helpful
study guide for the c.30,000 students a year worldwide pursuing the
IGC qualification 3. Written by renowned health and safety expert
and former NEBOSH Vice Chairman Dr Ed Ferrett 4. Accessible text
design, clearly mapping out key learning outcomes and revision
points for easy learning and memorization 5. Companion guide to the
4th edition of the renowned International Health and Safety at Work
textbook
This is a reprint of ISBN 978-0-901357-46-5 Disasters: learning the
lessons for a safer world is both a tribute to the victims of past
safety failures and a warning against complacency and cutting
corners today. It also recognises the achievements of health and
safety professionals and others in learning the lessons of past
mistakes. As Trevor Kletz has written, "Someone has paid the
'tuition fess'. There is no need for you to pay them again."
Illustrated throughout in colour, the book looks at over 90
accidents, incidents and safety failures. Some, like Aberfan,
Chernobyl and Hillsborough, are known simply by a single place
name. Others have now faded from our collective consciousness but
still have important lessons for us today, such as the early fires,
explosions and mining disasters that paved the way for better
safety management. Disasters: learning the lessons for a safer
world offers: a description of events from 1800 to the present day
a wide range of incidents, from explosions and fires to floods,
pollution and human and animal ill health information on the
background to each incident, what happened and the lessons that
were learnt an exploration of the politics of disaster and risk
reduction
Risk analysis is not a narrowly defined set of applications.
Rather, it is widely used to assess and manage a plethora of
hazards that threaten dire implications. However, too few people
actually understand what risk analysis can help us accomplish and,
even among experts, knowledge is often limited to one or two
applications. Explaining Risk Analysis frames risk analysis as a
holistic planning process aimed at making better risk-informed
decisions and emphasizing the connections between the parts. This
framework requires an understanding of basic terms, including
explanations of why there is no universal agreement about what risk
means, much less risk assessment, risk management and risk
analysis. Drawing on a wide range of case studies, the book
illustrates the ways in which risk analysis can help lead to better
decisions in a variety of scenarios, including the destruction of
chemical weapons, management of nuclear waste and the response to
passenger rail threats. The book demonstrates how the risk analysis
process and the data, models and processes used in risk analysis
will clarify, rather than obfuscate, decision-makers' options. This
book will be of great interest to students and scholars of risk
assessment, risk management, public health, environmental science,
environmental economics and environmental psychology.
Although several U.S. and European airlines have started providing
human factors training to their maintenance personnel, the academic
community (some 300 academic programs in the United States and
several others in Europe and Asia) has not yet started offering
formal human factors education to maintenance students. The highly
respected authors strongly believe in incorporating the human
factors principles in aviation maintenance. This is the first of
two volumes providing effective behavioural guidance on risk
management in aviation maintenance for both the novice and the
experienced maintenance personnel. Its practical guidelines assist
both student and practising aviation maintenance personnel to
develop sustainable safety culture. For the maintenance community
it provides some theoretical discussion about the "Why?" for risk
management and then focus on the 'How?' to implement a successful
error reduction program. To help the maintenance community in
making a strong case to their financial managers, the authors also
discuss the return on investment for risk management programs. The
issue of risk management is taken at two levels. First, it provides
a basic awareness information to those who have little or no
knowledge of maintenance human factors. Second, it provides a set
of practical tools for the more experienced people so that they can
be more effective in risk management and error recovery in their
jobs. This invaluable book serves as a practical guide as well as
an academic textbook. The book covers fundamental human factors
principles from a risk management perspective. Upon reading this
informative book, the audience will be able to apply the basic
principles of risk management to aviation maintenance environment,
and they will be able to use low-risk behaviours in their daily
work.
Getting your qualification is just the start of the safety
professional's journey towards effective workplace practice. World
Class Health and Safety doesn't repeat the whys and whats of health
and safety management, instead it is a helpful how-to guide for
newly qualified and experienced health and safety professionals to
get the best out of their knowledge, experience and the people they
work with. This book is filled with practical examples that bring
the subject to life, covering the skills and techniques you need to
be a leader of safety, overcome inaction and make lasting positive
changes to safety performance and culture - enabling more people to
go home safe every day. World Class Health and Safety teaches the
reader to: work efficiently and effectively with senior managers
and budget holders to implement the wider corporate social
responsibility agenda emphasize the 'value-added' benefits of good
health and safety management clearly and simply create effective
and engaging training use monitoring and audits to get the best out
of the resources available World Class Health and Safety is
essential reading for those wishing to invest in their own
professional development, to communicate effectively and to
understand and deliver safety in the wider business context,
wherever in the world they might be working.
Getting your qualification is just the start of the safety
professional's journey towards effective workplace practice. World
Class Health and Safety doesn't repeat the whys and whats of health
and safety management, instead it is a helpful how-to guide for
newly qualified and experienced health and safety professionals to
get the best out of their knowledge, experience and the people they
work with. This book is filled with practical examples that bring
the subject to life, covering the skills and techniques you need to
be a leader of safety, overcome inaction and make lasting positive
changes to safety performance and culture - enabling more people to
go home safe every day. World Class Health and Safety teaches the
reader to: work efficiently and effectively with senior managers
and budget holders to implement the wider corporate social
responsibility agenda emphasize the 'value-added' benefits of good
health and safety management clearly and simply create effective
and engaging training use monitoring and audits to get the best out
of the resources available World Class Health and Safety is
essential reading for those wishing to invest in their own
professional development, to communicate effectively and to
understand and deliver safety in the wider business context,
wherever in the world they might be working.
What to Expect and How to Respond offers a solutions oriented
glimpse into life in academia from the vantage point of groups
including students, faculty and administrators. This
interdisciplinary anthology provides insight into the profession
for graduate students planning on becoming academics; brings to the
attention of junior faculty potential tenure and promotion pitfalls
as well as strategies to successfully overcome potential obstacles;
offers senior faculty strategies to improve collegiality and the
workplace environment; and provides administrators with tools to
proactively and effectively contend with sensitive managerial
matters. This interdisciplinary anthology is useful for
undergraduate and graduate students of any discipline designed to
prepare them for a career in academia whether as staff, faculty or
an administrator. Moreover, this volume is a fine resource for
those already in academia who may be experiencing any one or number
of specific challenges highlighted from which useful survival
strategies could be garnered.
Bounded Thinking offers a new account of the virtues of limitation
management: intellectual virtues of adapting to the fact that we
cannot solve many problems that we can easily describe. Adam Morton
argues that we do give one another guidance on managing our
limitations, but that this has to be in terms of virtues and not of
rules, and in terms of success-knowledge and accomplishment-rather
than rationality. He establishes a taxonomy of intellectual
virtues, which includes 'paradoxical virtues' that sound like
vices, such as the virtue of ignoring evidence and the virtue of
not thinking too hard. There are also virtues of not planning
ahead, in that some forms of such planning require present
knowledge of one's future knowledge that is arguably impossible. A
person's best response to many problems depends not on the most
rationally promising solution to solving them but on the most
likely route to success given the profile of intellectual virtues
that the person has and lacks. Morton illustrates his argument with
discussions of several paradoxes and conundra. He closes the book
with a discussion of intelligence and rationality, and argues that
both have very limited usefulness in the evaluation of who will
make progress on which problems.
Natural disasters, instability in the finance and banking sector,
widespread social protests, and other crisis situations have
increasingly become the focus of public attention. With the growing
visibility of such events, accelerated by the rise and
proliferation of social media, the study of risk and crisis
management in the Internet age is of vital importance.Uncertainty
and Catastrophe Management is a clear and comprehensive guide to a
variety of crises, and seeks to offer practical advice on how best
to avoid them, minimize loss and damage once they have occurred,
and how best to recover from these situations. The book examines
104 cases that run the gamut from natural disasters such as the
2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami, to social movements like the
Ukrainian protests in 2013, from the Syrian Electronic Army's
cyber-attacks, to the reputational damage to firms in the wake of a
corporate scandal.This book is a revised and expanded edition of
Akira Ishikawa and Atsushi Tsujimoto's book, Risk and Crisis
Management: 101 Cases, and explores a number of recent events. It
draws on the expertise of the contributors to the volume to create
a well-rounded book that will benefit professionals, academics, and
the general public alike. In particular, safety professionals,
public management professionals, CEOs, CIOs, students and
researchers will appreciate its pragmatic approach to dealing with
and recovering from crises in the interest of long-term survival
and sustainability.
Risk, Surprises and Black Swans provides an in depth analysis of
the risk concept with a focus on the critical link to knowledge;
and the lack of knowledge, that risk and probability judgements are
based on. Based on technical scientific research, this book
presents a new perspective to help you understand how to assess and
manage surprising, extreme events, known as 'Black Swans'. This
approach looks beyond the traditional probability-based principles
to offer a broader insight into the important aspects of uncertain
events and in doing so explores the ways to manage them. This book
recognises the fundamental issues surrounding risk assessment and
risk management to help you to understand and prepare for black
swan events. Complete with international examples to illustrate
ideas and concepts Integrates risk management and resilience based
thinking Suitable for a variety of applications including
engineering, finance and security.
Dynamic Risk Assessment is the key tool to support a holistic risk
management framework. This book aims to help employers, managers
and staff alike to understand how they can effectively integrate
dynamic risk assessment into business management processes and
systems to improve safety. With tips, examples and solutions
throughout, this multi-disciplinary text delivers an effective and
comprehensive approach to help you to understand how dynamic risk
assessment (DRA) can be integrated into predictive (PRA) and
strategic risk assessments (SRA) to enhance your organization's
effectiveness. The 3-Level Risk Management Model fully supports and
complements the systematic 'five steps to risk assessment' process
A multi-disciplinary approach to dynamic risk assessment that
covers workers operating in teams and those working alone within
the public, private and third sectors Contains practical examples,
tips and case studies drawn from a wide range of organizations The
book comes with access to downloadable materials from an
accompanying website at:
www.routledge.com/cw/dynamic-risk-assessment
Risk and danger are culturally conditioned ideas. They are shaped
by pressures of social life and accepted notions of accountability.
The risk analyses that are increasingly being utilised by
politicians, aid programmes and business ignore the insights to be
gained from social anthropology which can be applied to modern
industrial society. In this collection of recent essays, Mary
Douglas develops a programme for studying risk and blame that
follows from ideas originally proposed in Purity and Danger. She
suggests how political and cultural bias can be incorporated into
the study of risk perception and in the discussion of
responsibility in public policy.
Change in organizations can arise spontaneously, or it can begin in
response to a planned process of change. Even planned change is not
as predictable as one might like it to be; it is often partial or
incomplete, or the results of change may not be what one hoped. The
aspects of an organization that resist change can be vital to an
organization's success, helping to keep it firm, stable, and
robust. Why Organizational Change Fails aims to make change
managers and OD consultants sensitive to signals of the robust part
of an organization, helping them to see something different than
they usually see: signs of change. The authors distinguish two
aspects of stability in organisations: robustness and tenacity.
Robustness is the ability of organisations to remain stable under
changing conditions. Tenacity is the reaction of a robust system to
planned change. Each of these aspects has its own unique qualities
and value within organizations. In the book, the authors describe
three aspects of robustness: social, cognitive and political. They
also describe healthy and unhealthy forms. Tenacity is described in
three patterns: bouncing back, smothering and calculating. Each
chapter of the book is preceded by an essay written by a leading
scientist designed to help provide real-world context for the
process of change and offering insights for the reader on either
side of the change equation.
Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) includes methods and tools
for modeling and solving complex problems. MCDM has become popular
in the production and service sectors to improve the quality of
service, reduce costs, and make people more prosperous. This book
illustrates applications through case studies focused on disaster
management. With a presentation of both Multi-Attribute
Decision-Making (MADM) and Multi-Objective Decision-Making (MODM)
models, this is the first book to merge these methods and tools
with disaster management. This book raises awareness for society
and decision-makers on how to measure readiness and what necessary
preventive measures need to be taken. It offers models and case
studies that can be easily adapted to solve complex problems and
find solutions in other fields. Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis:
Case Studies in Disaster Management will offer new insights to
researchers working in the areas of industrial engineering, systems
engineering, healthcare systems, operations research, mathematics,
business, computer science, and disaster management, and,
hopefully, the book will also stimulate further work in MCDM.
Through its exploration of the spatial dimension of risk, this book
offers a brand new approach to theorizing risk, and significant
improvements in how to manage, tolerate and take risks. A broad
range of risks are examined, including natural hazards, climate
change, political violence, and state failure. Case studies range
from the Congo to Central Asia, from tsunami in Japan and civil war
affected areas in Sri Lanka to avalanche hazards in Austria. In
each of these cases, the authors examine the importance and role of
space in the causes and differentiation of risk, in how we can
conceptualize risk from a spatial perspective and in the relevance
of space and locality for risk governance. This new approach -
endorsed by Ragnar Loefstedt and Ortwin Renn, two of the world's
leading and most prolific risk analysts - is essential reading for
those charged with studying, anticipating and managing risks.
Drawing on theory from anthropology, sociology, organisation
studies and philosophy, this book addresses how the perception,
communication and management of risk is shaped by culturally
informed and socially embedded knowledge and experience. It
provides an account of how interpretations of risk in society are
conditioned by knowledge claims and cultural assumptions and by the
orientationof actors based on roles, norms, expectations,
identities, trust and practical rationality within a lived social
world. By focusing on agency, social complexity and the production
and interpretation of meaning, the book offers a comprehensive and
holistic theoretical perspective on risk, based on empirical case
studies and ethnographic enquiry. As a selection of Asa Boholm's
publications throughout her career, along with a newly written
introduction overviewing the field, this book provides a unified
perspective on risk as a construct shaped by social and cultural
contexts.This collection should be of interest to students and
scholars of risk communication, risk management, environmental
planning, environmental management and environmental and applied
anthropology.
Drawing on theory from anthropology, sociology, organisation
studies and philosophy, this book addresses how the perception,
communication and management of risk is shaped by culturally
informed and socially embedded knowledge and experience. It
provides an account of how interpretations of risk in society are
conditioned by knowledge claims and cultural assumptions and by the
orientationof actors based on roles, norms, expectations,
identities, trust and practical rationality within a lived social
world. By focusing on agency, social complexity and the production
and interpretation of meaning, the book offers a comprehensive and
holistic theoretical perspective on risk, based on empirical case
studies and ethnographic enquiry. As a selection of Asa Boholm's
publications throughout her career, along with a newly written
introduction overviewing the field, this book provides a unified
perspective on risk as a construct shaped by social and cultural
contexts.This collection should be of interest to students and
scholars of risk communication, risk management, environmental
planning, environmental management and environmental and applied
anthropology.
This is a reprint of ISBN 978-0-901357-46-5 Disasters: learning the
lessons for a safer world is both a tribute to the victims of past
safety failures and a warning against complacency and cutting
corners today. It also recognises the achievements of health and
safety professionals and others in learning the lessons of past
mistakes. As Trevor Kletz has written, "Someone has paid the
'tuition fess'. There is no need for you to pay them again."
Illustrated throughout in colour, the book looks at over 90
accidents, incidents and safety failures. Some, like Aberfan,
Chernobyl and Hillsborough, are known simply by a single place
name. Others have now faded from our collective consciousness but
still have important lessons for us today, such as the early fires,
explosions and mining disasters that paved the way for better
safety management. Disasters: learning the lessons for a safer
world offers: a description of events from 1800 to the present day
a wide range of incidents, from explosions and fires to floods,
pollution and human and animal ill health information on the
background to each incident, what happened and the lessons that
were learnt an exploration of the politics of disaster and risk
reduction
Financial incentives have long been used to try to influence
professional values and practices. Recent events including the
global financial crisis and the BP Texas City refinery disaster
have been linked to such incentives, with commentators calling for
a critical look at these systems given the catastrophic outcomes.
Risky Rewards engages with this debate, particularly in the context
of the present and potential role of incentives to manage major
accident risk in hazardous industries. It examines the extent to
which people respond to financial incentives, the potential for
perverse consequences, and approaches that most appropriately focus
attention on major hazard risk. The book is based in part on an
empirical study of bonus arrangements in eleven companies operating
in hazardous industries, including oil, gas, chemical and mining.
Climate change poses a risk to business operations and to markets,
and a poor business response to this risk can lead to reputational
damage, or worse. At the same time, climate change can bring
opportunities for some businesses. In this addition to Gower's
series of Short Guides to Business Risk, Professor Arnell, one of
the world's leading experts in the field, reviews this critical
area of risk posed to businesses and other organisations by climate
change and considers how they can respond to this threat. A Short
Guide to Climate Change Risk focuses on the impacts and
consequences of climate change rather than on business use of
energy or business and 'sustainability' issues. The author examines
the advantages and disadvantages of different approaches to
addressing these risks, with international case study examples.
With chapters on the nature, science and politics of climate
change, on the assessment and management of climate change risks,
and recommendations for incorporating climate change risks into a
Company Risk Management System, this concise guide serves the needs
of business students and practitioners across a wide range of
sectors, public and private.
This book examines the idea of educational accountability in higher
education, which has become a new secular gospel. But do
accountability policies actually make colleges better? What if
educational accountability tools don't actually measure what
they're supposed to? What if accountability data isn't valid, or
worse, what if it's meaningless? What if administrators don't know
how to use accountability tools or correctly analyze the
problematic data these tools produce? What if we can't measure, let
alone accurately assess, what matters most with teaching or student
learning. What if students don't learn much in college? What if
higher education was never designed to produce student learning?
What if college doesn't help most students, either personally or
economically? What if higher education isn't meritocratic, actually
exacerbates inequality, and makes the lives of disadvantaged
students even worse? This book will answer these questions with a
wide, interdisciplinary range of the latest scientific research.
Every day decision making in complex human-centric systems are
characterized by imperfect decision-relevant information. The
principal problems with the existing decision theories are that
they do not have capability to deal with situations in which
probabilities and events are imprecise. In this book, we describe a
new theory of decision making with imperfect information. The aim
is to shift the foundation of decision analysis and economic
behavior from the realm bivalent logic to the realm fuzzy logic and
Z-restriction, from external modeling of behavioral decisions to
the framework of combined states.This book will be helpful for
professionals, academics, managers and graduate students in fuzzy
logic, decision sciences, artificial intelligence, mathematical
economics, and computational economics.
This book will show you how to build a sustainable reputation risk
management framework and how to handle your next reputation risk
crisis. It will help you identify ways in which reputation risk can
impact bottom line, and then show you how to set up a framework for
turning that risk into an opportunity for good, sustainable
business. Reputation risk is a strategic risk and a potentially
material risk, all the more so in the 'age of hyper-transparency'.
This needs to be clearly understood by both management and boards
of directors so that the people tasked with reputation risk have
the support they need to align their reputation risk management
with business strategy and planning. The Reputation Risk Handbook
provides a clear framework to identify, manage and resolve
reputation risk, including: A clear description of what reputation
risk is and how it fits within the pantheon of corporate and
institutional risk and strategic management A practical process for
creating early warning systems and on-going management and
monitoring of reputation risks Techniques for aligning reputation
risk management with business strategy and business planning
Several case studies, including examples of when reputation risk
management has gone wrong Examples of how to manage specific
reputation risks successfully or deal with a reputation risk
crisis. The Reputation Risk Handbook is not just for practitioners
- those who manage risk and reputation directly - but for those who
have oversight of risk management - namely boards, their committees
and the c-suite. In addition to a framework for practitioners, the
book provides specific suggestions for boards, including questions
to ask management and what to look for within their organizations.
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