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Books > Reference & Interdisciplinary > Communication studies > Decision theory
This book demonstrates an original concept for implementing the
rough set theory in the construction of decision-making systems. It
addresses three types of decisions, including those in which the
information or input data is insufficient. Though decision-making
and classification in cases with missing or inaccurate data is a
common task, classical decision-making systems are not naturally
adapted to it. One solution is to apply the rough set theory
proposed by Prof. Pawlak. The proposed classifiers are applied and
tested in two configurations: The first is an iterative mode in
which a single classification system requests completion of the
input data until an unequivocal decision (classification) is
obtained. It allows us to start classification processes using very
limited input data and supplementing it only as needed, which
limits the cost of obtaining data. The second configuration is an
ensemble mode in which several rough set-based classification
systems achieve the unequivocal decision collectively, even though
the systems cannot separately deliver such results.
This book provides in-depth guidance on how to use multi-criteria
decision analysis methods for risk assessment and risk management.
The frontiers of engineering operations management methods for
identifying the risks, investigating their roles, analyzing the
complex cause-effect relationships, and proposing countermeasures
for risk mitigation are presented in this book. There is a total of
ten chapters, mainly including the indicators and organizational
models for risk assessment, the integrated Bayesian Best-Worst
method and classifiable TOPSIS model for risk assessment, new risk
prioritization model, fuzzy risk assessment under uncertainties,
assessment of COVID-19 transmission risk based on fuzzy inference
system, risk assessment and mitigation based on simulation output
analysis, energy supply risk analysis, risk assessment and
management in cash-in-transit vehicle routing problems, and
sustainability risks of resource-exhausted cities. The most
significant feature of this book is that it provides various
systematic multi-criteria decision analysis methods for risk
assessment and management, and illustrates the application of these
methods in different fields. This book is beneficial to
policymakers, decision-makers, experts, researchers and students
related to risk assessment and management.
This publication presents the latest innovations and achievements
of academic communities on Decision Support Systems (DSS). These
advances include theory systems, computer-aided methods,
algorithms, techniques and applications related to supporting
decision making. The aim is to develop approaches for applying
information systems technology to increase the effectiveness of
decision making in situations where the computer system can support
and enhance human judgments in the performance of tasks that have
elements which cannot be specified in advance. Also it is intended
to improve ways of synthesizing and applying relevant work from
resource disciplines to practical implementation of systems that
enhance decision support capability.The resource disciplines
include: information technology, artificial intelligence, cognitive
psychology, decision theory, organizational theory, operations
research and modeling. Researchers come from the Operational
Research area but also from Decision Theory, Multicriteria Decision
Making methodologies, Fuzzy sets and modeling tools. Based on the
introduction of Information and Communication Technologies in
organizations, the decisional process is evolving from a mono actor
to a multi actor situation in which cooperation is a way to make
the decision.
The Value TRAI is a four part classification which has been
developed to enable any business entity, process, project or job to
be broken down into its component value elements. This then
provides a framework for the identification, prioritisation,
evaluation and management of business risks. In addition to the
value TRAI this book introduces a series of simple tools which
address business risks: both threats and opportunities.The Author,
Chris Duggleby, has spent over thirty years managing chemicals
businesses around the world working with several internationally
respected partners. His recent work focused on the management of
Joint Ventures and the design of Management of Change processes for
transformation projects. His first-hand knowledge of managing
industrial business risks has been used in the design of the tools
and processes described in this book.Using a standardised set of
easy to apply risk management tools is fundamental to the
introduction of an enterprise wide risk management system. This
book, supported by the www.bizchangers.com website, describes these
tools and how to apply them.
This book includes a collection of articles that present recent
developments in the fields of optimization and dynamic game theory,
economic dynamics, dynamic theory of the firm, and population
dynamics and non standard applications of optimal control theory.
The authors of the articles are well respected authorities in their
fields and are known for their high quality research in the fields
of optimization and economic dynamics.
Top businesses recognise risk management as a core feature of their
project management process and approach to the governance of
projects. However, a mature risk management process is required in
order to realise its benefits; one that takes into account the
design and implementation of the process and the skills, experience
and culture of the people who use it. To be mature in the way you
manage risk you need an accepted framework to assess your risk
management maturity, allowing you to benchmark against a recognised
standard. A structured pathway for improvement is also needed, not
just telling you where you are now, but describing the steps
required to reach the next level. The Project Risk Maturity Model
detailed here provides such an assessment framework and development
pathway. It can be used to benchmark your project risk processes
and support the introduction of effective in-house project risk
management. Using this model, implementation and improvement of
project risk management can be managed effectively to ensure that
the expected benefits are achieved in a way that is appropriate to
the needs of each organisation. Martin Hopkinson has developed The
Project Risk Maturity Model into a robust framework, and this book
allows you to access and apply his insights and experience. A key
feature is a downloadable resource containing a working copy of the
QinetiQ Project Risk Maturity Model (RMM). This will enable you to
undertake maturity assessments for as many projects as you choose.
The RMM has been proven over a period of 10 years, with at least
250 maturity assessments on projects and programmes with a total
value exceeding AGBP60 billion. A case study in the book
demonstrates how it has been used to deliver significant and
measurable benefits to the performance of major projects.
Decision-Making Management: A Tutorial and Applications provides
practical guidance for researchers seeking to optimizing
business-critical decisions employing Logical Decision Trees thus
saving time and money. The book focuses on decision-making and
resource allocation across and between the manufacturing, product
design and logistical functions. It demonstrates key results for
each sector with diverse real-world case studies drawn primarily
from EU projects. Theory is accompanied by relevant analysis
techniques, with a progressional approach building from simple
theory to complex and dynamic decisions with multiple data points,
including big data and lot of data. Binary Decision Diagrams are
presented as the operating approach for evaluating large Logical
Decision Trees, helping readers identify Boolean equations for
quantitative analysis of multifaceted problem sets. Computational
techniques, dynamic analysis, probabilistic methods, and
mathematical optimization techniques are expertly blended to
support analysis of multi-criteria decision-making problems with
defined constraints and requirements. The final objective is to
optimize dynamic decisions with original approaches employing
useful tools, including Big Data analysis. Extensive annexes
provide useful supplementary information for readers to follow
methods contained in the book.
This book proposes several commonly used interval-valued solution
concepts of interval-valued cooperative games with transferable
utility. It thoroughly investigates these solutions, thereby
establishing the properties, models, methods, and applications. The
first chapter proposes the interval-valued least square solutions
and quadratic programming models, methods, and properties. Next,
the satisfactory-degree-based non-linear programming models for
computing interval-valued cores and corresponding bisection
algorithm are explained. Finally, the book explores several
simplification methods of interval-valued solutions: the
interval-valued equal division and equal surplus division values;
the interval-valued Shapley, egalitarian Shapley, and discounted
Shapley values; the interval-valued solidarity and generalized
solidarity values; and the interval-valued Banzhaf value. This book
is designed for individuals from different fields and disciplines,
such as decision science, game theory, management science,
operations research, fuzzy sets or fuzzy mathematics, applied
mathematics, industrial engineering, finance, applied economics,
expert system, and social economy as well as artificial
intelligence. Moreover, it is suitable for teachers, postgraduates,
and researchers from different disciplines: decision analysis,
management, operations research, fuzzy mathematics, fuzzy system
analysis, applied mathematics, systems engineering, project
management, supply chain management, industrial engineering,
applied economics, and hydrology and water resources.
Have you ever wondered why you make bad decisions? Or why it's so
hard to make a decision in the first place? Through pioneering
research into behavioural science, decisions expert Dr Sheheryar
Banuri has designed an entirely novel decision-making framework
which can be adopted into everyday life to help us better our
decision-making skills by understanding and streamlining the
process. The result? Simple, effective and efficient techniques to
combat indecision. The Decisive Mind will draw on examples from
evolutionary psychology, examine our ability (or inability) to
prioritise and highlight the scenarios that force decision-making
errors, and help us understand our own minds. By unpicking a
lifetime's worth of misconceptions about our own decision-making
patterns and habits, this book will guide you on your first steps
towards optimising your own brain space.
This cutting-edge book presents the theory and practice of the
Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR), which is used for
strategically investigating disputes in any field to enable
informed decision making. It clearly explains how GMCR can
determine what is the best a particular decision maker (DM) can
independently achieve in dynamic interaction with others. Moves and
counter-moves follow various stability definitions reflecting human
behavior under conflict. The book defines a wide range of
preference structures to represent a DM's comparisons of states or
scenarios: equally preferred, more or less preferred; unknown;
degrees of strength of preference; and hybrid. It vividly describes
how GMCR can ascertain whether a DM can fare even better by
cooperating with others in a coalition. The book portrays how a
conflict can evolve from the status quo to a desirable resolution,
and provides a universal design for a decision support system to
implement the innovative decision technologies using the matrix
formulation of GMCR. Further, it illustrates the key ideas using
real-world conflicts and supplies problems at the end of each
chapter. As such, this highly instructive book benefits teachers,
mentors, students and practitioners in any area where conflict
arises.
This book focuses on the issues of decision-making with several
numerical criteria. It introduces an original general approach to
solving multicriteria problems given quantitative information about
the preference relation of a decision-maker. It considers the
problems with crisp as well as fuzzy preference relations,
accepting the four axioms of "reasonable choice". Further, it
defines the notion of an information quantum about the preference
relation of a decision-maker and studies the reduction of the
Pareto set using a finite collection of information quanta,
demonstrating that the original approach yields a good
approximation for the set of nondominated alternatives in a
multicriteria problem. Lastly, it analyzes a possible combination
of the axiomatic approach with other well-known methods. Intended
for a wide range of professionals involved in solving multicriteria
problems, including researchers, design engineers, product
engineers, developers and analysts, the book is also a valuable
resource for undergraduate and postgraduate students of
mathematics, economics, and engineering.
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