North Korean Foreign Policy: Security Dilemma and Succession, by
Yongho Kim, starts from the point of view that North Korea's
provocations have been motivated more by fear than by her in-born
provocative nature. Kim argues that North Korea's provocative
foreign policy reflects its threat perception stemming from various
security dilemma, and a very real concern regarding another
father-to-son succession. This volume views North Korea's external
and domestic threats as causes and its provocative foreign policy
as an effect of the causes. The security dilemma has impelled North
Korea to generate and thus portray to the world provocative
signals, and the ever-pressing issue of Kim Jong-il's succession
has driven him to prioritize his own political survival over that
of North Korea's state survival. Unless Kim Jong-il's political
survival is guaranteed, North Korea will not be interested in
full-scale introduction of capitalist way of economic reform and
economic package promised by the United States and South Korea in
return for the abandonment of their nuclear program. North Korean
Foreign Policy suggests that an effective policy for countries
relating to North Korea, whether dovish or hawkish, should deal
directly with Kim Jong-il's political survival, and not with
Pyongyang's failed economy.
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