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In part I of this book a dynamic migratory model connecting the
microlevel of individual migration trends with the macrolevel of
interregional migration is developed. Its derivation makes use of
the master equation method. Applying a ranking regression analysis,
the trend parameters of the model are correlated to regional
socio-economic key factors. In part II the model is applied to
interregional migration within the countries Federal Republic of
Germany, Canada, France, Israel, Italy and Sweden. In part III a
comparative analysis of the results is given. In part IV a
selfcontained derivation of the master equation and of solutions
relevant for the migratory system is given, the ranking regression
analysis is exemplified and a computer program for the estimation
of trendparameters is added.
We all know that networks are fundamental prerequisites for
prosperity and production. Transportation and communication are
indispensible to society, they are the elements which bind all
economic systems together. Without networks and communica tion all
social and economic life will be reduced to isolated phenomena.
Therefore, transportation can't be assessed in the same way as
other services. A smoothly functioning system of communications is
also a prerequistite for social and economic integration between
separate geographical regions. The modernization of the
infrastructure is therefore an urgent task and a precondition for
carrying out the whole of Europe's ambitious political, economic
and social agenda. Since the need for communication and
transportation does not know any national borders, the functioning
of the networks needs to be adopted to this new economic and
political geography. Congestions of cities, highways, railroads,
airways and tele communications must be tackled, if precious
working, commuting and leisure time is not to be wasted and heavy
burdens on the environment avoided. European traffic, is for
example, expected to double within the next twenty years. In
certain transport modes the growth is expected to be even faster -
air passenger transport doubled in 10 years and goods transport on
roads doubled in 15 years."
During the seventies and eighties, the industries associated with
the transportation of goods and people have been exposed to some
profound changes. The quickening pace of technological change -
with its growing emphasis on telecommunications, knowledge-handling
capacity, and air transportation - is increasing the discrete
character of the world economy. Thus the network structure of
global development patterns is becoming more important, with
metropolitan centres as key nodes and rapid transportation routes
as key links. In this evolutionary situation, changes in the
preferred mix of transport modes are inevitable. The faster and
more direct modes will be favoured, individually and in
combination, and there will be an increasing interest in
transportation policies and the provision of infrastructure. This
volume contains a collection of innovative papers presented at the
First International Conference on Transportation for the Future,
held in Sodertalje, Sweden in July 1988. Twenty industry leaders
and prominent scientists from Europe, USA and Japan present their
views about the ongoing transformation of production and
distribution systems among firms striving for Just-In-Time methods,
economies of scope, and a fully integrated approach to their
economic activities. The future of passenger travel and
infrastructure are also discussed. The resulting book presents a
surprisingly consistent picture of how the transportation
industries of the industrialized nations may be expected to grow
and change in a long-term perspective."
The focus of this book is to present the latest aspects in the area
of human behavior and its relation to planning of an optimal
traffic safety. The contributions from authors in various
disciplines such as scientists, medical practitioners,
administrators and practitioners from the car industry examine how
road-user behavior can cause accidents and how decision-makers from
various sectors of society may influence road users' behavior. The
development of modern vehicles and new traffic systems requires
more sophisticated behavior and technology. New medical
technologies such as improved neuropsychologic methods and
descriptive mapping of behavior with imaging techniques facilitate
the understanding of the anatomy and physiology of human behavior.
The increased knowledge of normal and pathologic behavior
contributes to strenghten primary prevention with the goal of
reducing traffic accidents.
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