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Throughout the 1990s many countries around the world experienced
the beginnings of what would later become the most significant and
protracted decline in crime ever recorded. Although not a universal
experience, the so-called international crime-drop was an
unpredicted and unprecedented event which now offers fertile ground
for reflection on many of criminology's key theories and debates.
Through the lens of developmental and life-course criminology, this
Element compares the criminal offending trajectories of two
Australian birth cohorts born ten years apart in 1984 and 1994. It
finds that the crime-drop was unlikely the result of any
significant change in the prevalence or persistence of early-onset
and chronic offending, but the disproportionate disappearance of
their low-rate, adolescent-onset peers. Despite decades of research
that has prioritized interventions for at-risk chronic offenders,
it seems our greatest global crime prevention achievement to date
was in reducing the prevalence of criminal offending in the general
population.
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