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The collapse in commodity prices since 1980 has been a major cause
of the economic crisis in a large number of developing countries.
This book investigates whether the commodity-producing countries,
by joint action, could have prevented the price collapse by
appropriate supply management. The analysis is focused on the
markets for the tropical beverage crops: coffee, cocoa, and tea.
Using new econometric models for each market, the impact of
alternative supply management schemes on supply, consumption,
prices, and export earnings is simulated for the later 1980s. The
results indicate that supply management by producing countries
would, indeed, have been a viable alternative to the `free market'
approach favoured by the developed countries. This has important
implications for current international commodity policy, and, in
particular, for future joint action by producing countries to
overcome persistent commodity surpluses as a complement to needed
diversification.
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