Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result in “the ultimate guide to thinking about risk” (Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit).

In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?

Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?

Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.

By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.

The ultimate guide to becoming an expert player of no limit hold’em poker from one of the game’s “premier players” (Erik Seidel, World Series of Poker winner) Phil Gordon. Poker is hotter than ever, with tens of millions of fans dealing in, logging on, and tuning in to global tournaments. And the most popular version of poker is no limit hold’em, long considered the purest form of the game, with appearances in the World Series of Poker, the World Poker Tour, and on Bravo’s Celebrity Poker Showdown. Now, Phil Gordon, acclaimed professional player and cohost of Celebrity Poker Showdown, shares his seasoned expertise and valuable insight in Phil Gordon’s Little Green Book. Featuring a conversational approach and easy-to-digest explanations and diagrams, this is the must-have guide for anyone who wants to go all-in on becoming a better no limit hold’em player.

'Brilliant and entertaining' Daniel Kahneman | 'Quit what you are doing right now and read this' Richard Thaler | 'Engrossing, important, and grounded in science' Katy Milkman What if the secret to success is not just hard work, but knowing when to change track? In this game-changing guide, decision-making expert Annie Duke shows why quitting what holds you back is essential for success. Drawing on new research and fascinating examples, this book offers practical strategies and explains: Why it's so hard to walk away How to identify when it's best to persevere or pivot How quitting on time often feels like quitting too early Packed with insights from athletes, start-up founders and entertainers, Quit breaks down the mental model that keeps us from walking away and provides a toolkit for quitting anything - a career, a marriage, an investment - at the perfect time.

In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.

Consider this book a trail guide-helping you survive and thrive financially in this complex and unpredictable world in which we live. Given how the coronavirus pandemic has rocked the economy, readers need a framework to make good financial decisions about their future, as well as support to psychologically handle the changing landscape. That's what Peter Neuwirth's six foundational principles of Holistic Financial Wellness can provide. Specifically, this book will help people understand and deal with the complexity of the system, the uncertainty of the future, the hidden agendas and misguided views of many advisors, and the built-in irrationality we have as humans that makes it so hard to survive-let alone thrive financially. As you will soon see, Neuwirth's advice on how to structure your financial world in order to withstand the inevitable systemic collapses that the global economy was destined to experience could have saved the average reader tens (if not hundreds of thousands) of dollars, had they adopted these suggestions before Covid-19 arrived in this country. More than that, by using the six foundational principles of Holistic Financial Wellness, the attentive reader will now be prepared psychologically to weather the aftermath of this crisis, and be ready to face the next one. "Peter gives readers needed guidance for surviving a complex financial future. This book empowers readers to plan for the predictable, and to be prepared for the unpredictable-without losing sight of the trail." -Mike Kaplan, CEO, Rael & Letson "Pete's observations on how to ensure financial wellness over a lifetime are based on his deep knowledge of money and probability, complexity and change, and the quirks of human nature. The book is funny, frank, and realistic about how to navigate financially in an uncertain world." -Peter Cahall, Chief Executive Officer, CapAcuity