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Credit risk is the risk resulting from the uncertainty that a borrower or a group of borrowers may be unwilling or unable to meet their contractual obligations as per the agreed terms. It is the largest element of risk faced by most banks and financial institutions. Potential losses due to high credit risk can threaten a bank's solvency. After the global financial crisis of 2008, the importance of adopting prudent risk management practices has increased manifold. This book attempts to demystify various standard mathematical and statistical techniques that can be applied to measuring and managing portfolio credit risk in the emerging market in India. It also provides deep insights into various nuances of credit risk management practices derived from the best practices adopted globally, with case studies and data from Indian banks.
The book provides an engaging account of theoretical, empirical, and practical aspects of various statistical methods in measuring risks of financial institutions, especially banks. In this book, the author demonstrates how banks can apply many simple but effective statistical techniques to analyze risks they face in business and safeguard themselves from potential vulnerability. It covers three primary areas of banking; risks-credit, market, and operational risk and in a uniquely intuitive, step-by-step manner the author provides hands-on details on the primary statistical tools that can be applied for financial risk measurement and management. The book lucidly introduces concepts of various well-known statistical methods such as correlations, regression, matrix approach, probability and distribution theorem, hypothesis testing, value at risk, and Monte Carlo simulation techniques and provides a hands-on estimation and interpretation of these tests in measuring risks of the financial institutions. The book strikes a fine balance between concepts and mathematics to tell a rich story of thoughtful use of statistical methods.
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